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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
0.8
Avg Position Diff
5
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Hillsdale College0.41+1.39vs Predicted
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2Indiana University0.82-0.02vs Predicted
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3-0.88+0.59vs Predicted
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4Ohio State University0.28-1.56vs Predicted
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5Northwestern University-2.19-0.41vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.39Hillsdale College0.410.3%1st Place
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1.98Indiana University0.820.4%1st Place
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3.59-0.880.1%1st Place
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2.44Ohio State University0.280.2%1st Place
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4.59Northwestern University-2.190.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Arden Carleton | 26.1% | 29.4% | 27.3% | 14.3% | 2.9% |
| Nithya Balachander | 40.6% | 29.3% | 21.8% | 7.6% | 0.7% |
| Alex Day | 7.9% | 8.9% | 17.1% | 48.3% | 17.8% |
| Nadia Reynolds | 24.0% | 28.6% | 29.2% | 15.4% | 2.8% |
| Azim Usmanov | 1.4% | 3.8% | 4.6% | 14.4% | 75.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.