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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.2
Avg Position Diff
5
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Indiana University0.82+1.00vs Predicted
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2Hillsdale College0.41+0.36vs Predicted
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3Northwestern University-2.19+1.60vs Predicted
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4Ohio State University0.28-1.54vs Predicted
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5-0.88-1.42vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.0Indiana University0.820.4%1st Place
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2.36Hillsdale College0.410.3%1st Place
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4.6Northwestern University-2.190.0%1st Place
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2.46Ohio State University0.280.2%1st Place
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3.58-0.880.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nithya Balachander | 41.2% | 29.5% | 18.7% | 9.1% | 1.5% |
| Arden Carleton | 26.3% | 29.8% | 27.9% | 13.9% | 2.1% |
| Azim Usmanov | 1.6% | 2.5% | 5.4% | 14.9% | 75.6% |
| Nadia Reynolds | 23.6% | 27.7% | 30.7% | 15.3% | 2.7% |
| Alex Day | 7.3% | 10.5% | 17.3% | 46.8% | 18.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.