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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
0.7
Avg Position Diff
5
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Hillsdale College0.41+1.36vs Predicted
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2Ohio State University0.28+0.47vs Predicted
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3Indiana University0.82-1.05vs Predicted
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4-0.88-0.38vs Predicted
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5Northwestern University-2.19-0.40vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.36Hillsdale College0.410.3%1st Place
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2.47Ohio State University0.280.2%1st Place
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1.95Indiana University0.820.4%1st Place
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3.62-0.880.1%1st Place
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4.6Northwestern University-2.190.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Arden Carleton | 26.8% | 30.2% | 25.4% | 15.2% | 2.4% |
| Nadia Reynolds | 23.2% | 26.9% | 31.5% | 16.5% | 1.9% |
| Nithya Balachander | 42.3% | 30.1% | 19.2% | 7.6% | 0.8% |
| Alex Day | 6.4% | 9.8% | 18.4% | 45.9% | 19.5% |
| Azim Usmanov | 1.3% | 3.0% | 5.5% | 14.8% | 75.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.