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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
0.8
Avg Position Diff
4
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Hillsdale College0.41+0.89vs Predicted
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2Indiana University0.82-0.39vs Predicted
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3Northwestern University-2.19+0.66vs Predicted
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4-0.88-1.16vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.89Hillsdale College0.410.4%1st Place
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1.61Indiana University0.820.5%1st Place
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3.66Northwestern University-2.190.0%1st Place
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2.84-0.880.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Arden Carleton | 35.5% | 42.7% | 18.9% | 2.9% |
| Nithya Balachander | 52.7% | 35.2% | 10.9% | 1.2% |
| Azim Usmanov | 3.3% | 4.4% | 14.9% | 77.4% |
| Alex Day | 8.5% | 17.7% | 55.3% | 18.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.