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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
0.4
Avg Position Diff
4
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Hillsdale College0.41+0.86vs Predicted
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2Indiana University0.82-0.41vs Predicted
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3-0.88-0.13vs Predicted
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4Northwestern University-2.19-0.31vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.86Hillsdale College0.410.4%1st Place
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1.59Indiana University0.820.5%1st Place
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2.87-0.880.1%1st Place
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3.69Northwestern University-2.190.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Arden Carleton | 35.6% | 45.4% | 16.8% | 2.2% |
| Nithya Balachander | 53.6% | 34.8% | 10.9% | 0.7% |
| Alex Day | 9.6% | 14.0% | 56.7% | 19.7% |
| Azim Usmanov | 1.2% | 5.8% | 15.6% | 77.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.