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📊 Prediction Accuracy
66.7%
Within 2 Positions
2.5
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1College of Charleston4.11+1.27vs Predicted
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2University of South Florida3.29+1.50vs Predicted
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3Jacksonville University0.64+6.17vs Predicted
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4Georgia Institute of Technology1.97+2.35vs Predicted
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5Rollins College3.04-0.93vs Predicted
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6University of Florida1.91+0.46vs Predicted
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7University of Tennessee0.80+1.75vs Predicted
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8Duke University0.59+1.20vs Predicted
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9University of Miami2.28-3.52vs Predicted
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10Auburn University1.12-1.82vs Predicted
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11University of North Carolina at Wilmington0.29-1.06vs Predicted
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12Eckerd College2.73-7.37vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.27College of Charleston4.110.4%1st Place
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3.5University of South Florida3.290.2%1st Place
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9.17Jacksonville University0.640.0%1st Place
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6.35Georgia Institute of Technology1.970.0%1st Place
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4.07Rollins College3.040.1%1st Place
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6.46University of Florida1.910.0%1st Place
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8.75University of Tennessee0.800.0%1st Place
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9.2Duke University0.590.0%1st Place
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5.48University of Miami2.280.1%1st Place
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8.18Auburn University1.120.0%1st Place
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9.94University of North Carolina at Wilmington0.290.0%1st Place
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4.63Eckerd College2.730.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Christopher Banholzer | 39.5% | 26.3% | 17.2% | 8.5% | 4.6% | 2.0% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Abby Featherstone | 18.0% | 18.3% | 17.5% | 17.2% | 12.4% | 8.5% | 4.8% | 2.7% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Michael Todd | 1.6% | 1.7% | 1.9% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 8.4% | 12.1% | 18.7% | 18.7% | 19.9% |
| Morgan O'Neil | 2.9% | 5.8% | 7.5% | 9.4% | 11.7% | 13.1% | 14.0% | 13.1% | 10.3% | 8.1% | 2.8% | 1.3% |
| Cassandra Yankala | 13.0% | 15.7% | 17.4% | 13.6% | 13.3% | 11.9% | 7.5% | 4.4% | 1.9% | 1.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Danny Levy | 3.8% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 11.0% | 11.6% | 14.3% | 14.4% | 12.5% | 7.3% | 4.1% | 0.9% |
| Ervin Grove | 1.7% | 2.2% | 2.2% | 3.5% | 3.0% | 6.7% | 7.6% | 11.2% | 13.8% | 16.5% | 18.0% | 13.6% |
| Gregory Bachman | 0.9% | 1.1% | 2.5% | 3.3% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 8.3% | 13.3% | 14.5% | 21.7% | 19.8% |
| Ben Jassin | 5.6% | 7.0% | 9.6% | 14.2% | 14.4% | 13.2% | 13.8% | 11.5% | 6.1% | 2.7% | 1.6% | 0.3% |
| Samuel Hodges | 1.9% | 2.8% | 3.4% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 7.5% | 9.5% | 12.3% | 15.9% | 16.3% | 12.2% | 9.1% |
| Oliver Evans | 1.1% | 1.3% | 0.9% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 3.5% | 4.8% | 7.0% | 10.0% | 13.1% | 20.1% | 35.1% |
| Solvig Sayre | 10.0% | 11.6% | 13.0% | 14.6% | 15.5% | 12.4% | 11.2% | 6.0% | 3.6% | 1.4% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.