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📊 Prediction Accuracy
61.5%
Within 2 Positions
1.8
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Michigan Technological University0.54+1.51vs Predicted
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2Hope College-0.87+3.14vs Predicted
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3Grand Valley State University-1.75+4.10vs Predicted
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4Ohio State University-0.03-0.54vs Predicted
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5Michigan State University-0.42-0.89vs Predicted
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6Indiana University-0.67-1.37vs Predicted
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7University of Michigan-1.30-1.06vs Predicted
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8Purdue University-1.50-1.58vs Predicted
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9University of Iowa-4.18+2.22vs Predicted
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10University of Michigan-2.73-1.01vs Predicted
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11Western Michigan University-2.71-2.16vs Predicted
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13Saint Mary's College-3.44-2.71vs Predicted
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14Saginaw Valley State University-5.16-1.66vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.51Michigan Technological University0.540.3%1st Place
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5.14Hope College-0.870.1%1st Place
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7.1Grand Valley State University-1.750.0%1st Place
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3.46Ohio State University-0.030.2%1st Place
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4.11Michigan State University-0.420.1%1st Place
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4.63Indiana University-0.670.1%1st Place
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5.94University of Michigan-1.300.1%1st Place
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6.42Purdue University-1.500.0%1st Place
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11.22University of Iowa-4.180.0%1st Place
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8.99University of Michigan-2.730.0%1st Place
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8.84Western Michigan University-2.710.0%1st Place
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10.29Saint Mary's College-3.440.0%1st Place
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12.34Saginaw Valley State University-5.160.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Andrew Michels | 33.0% | 26.1% | 17.5% | 11.2% | 7.7% | 2.4% | 1.3% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jennifer Falkner | 8.4% | 8.3% | 10.2% | 14.8% | 13.5% | 12.7% | 13.8% | 9.4% | 5.7% | 2.4% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Carly Irwin | 3.2% | 2.4% | 4.8% | 7.1% | 9.1% | 9.4% | 12.8% | 17.7% | 16.7% | 10.3% | 5.5% | 0.8% | 0.2% |
| Mason Shaw | 18.3% | 19.8% | 17.5% | 14.4% | 13.7% | 9.1% | 3.9% | 2.3% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Monika Torkos | 13.5% | 14.1% | 16.1% | 15.1% | 13.9% | 11.0% | 9.0% | 4.0% | 2.7% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Daniel de la Vega III | 10.1% | 12.2% | 13.9% | 13.3% | 14.0% | 13.9% | 8.9% | 8.0% | 3.6% | 1.8% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| River Servia | 6.1% | 7.4% | 8.1% | 8.0% | 11.4% | 13.1% | 15.0% | 12.5% | 10.6% | 5.6% | 1.5% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Gavin Holmes | 4.4% | 6.1% | 5.2% | 8.2% | 8.9% | 13.9% | 14.9% | 15.9% | 11.4% | 7.9% | 2.4% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Maggie Lennon | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.9% | 2.1% | 1.9% | 2.2% | 4.4% | 8.9% | 16.1% | 41.3% | 20.6% |
| Andrew Beute | 1.0% | 1.4% | 3.4% | 1.8% | 3.6% | 4.3% | 5.7% | 10.5% | 16.0% | 22.5% | 18.9% | 8.3% | 2.6% |
| Keegan Aerts | 1.3% | 1.0% | 1.9% | 3.4% | 2.7% | 5.8% | 7.9% | 10.8% | 16.6% | 23.1% | 17.1% | 6.7% | 1.7% |
| Emmalyn Holmquist | 0.4% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 1.8% | 0.5% | 1.8% | 4.7% | 5.6% | 9.2% | 13.3% | 30.7% | 23.0% | 7.5% |
| Adam Bryan | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.5% | 2.1% | 3.5% | 6.7% | 18.4% | 67.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.