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📊 Prediction Accuracy
69.2%
Within 2 Positions
1.7
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Michigan Technological University0.54+1.54vs Predicted
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2Grand Valley State University-1.75+4.99vs Predicted
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3Ohio State University-0.03+0.48vs Predicted
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4Michigan State University-0.42+0.21vs Predicted
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5University of Michigan-1.30+0.93vs Predicted
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6Indiana University-0.67-1.36vs Predicted
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7Purdue University-1.50-0.62vs Predicted
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8Hope College-0.87-2.91vs Predicted
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9University of Michigan-2.730.00vs Predicted
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10University of Iowa-4.18+1.23vs Predicted
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12Western Michigan University-2.71-3.17vs Predicted
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13Saint Mary's College-3.44-2.66vs Predicted
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14Saginaw Valley State University-5.16-1.67vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.54Michigan Technological University0.540.3%1st Place
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6.99Grand Valley State University-1.750.0%1st Place
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3.48Ohio State University-0.030.2%1st Place
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4.21Michigan State University-0.420.1%1st Place
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5.93University of Michigan-1.300.1%1st Place
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4.64Indiana University-0.670.1%1st Place
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6.38Purdue University-1.500.1%1st Place
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5.09Hope College-0.870.1%1st Place
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9.0University of Michigan-2.730.0%1st Place
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11.23University of Iowa-4.180.0%1st Place
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8.83Western Michigan University-2.710.0%1st Place
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10.34Saint Mary's College-3.440.0%1st Place
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12.33Saginaw Valley State University-5.160.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Andrew Michels | 33.2% | 24.7% | 17.7% | 12.6% | 6.0% | 3.9% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Carly Irwin | 3.3% | 3.9% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 7.1% | 9.9% | 15.7% | 16.7% | 14.7% | 11.2% | 4.3% | 1.3% | 0.1% |
| Mason Shaw | 18.3% | 20.6% | 15.8% | 15.6% | 12.5% | 8.4% | 5.5% | 2.2% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Monika Torkos | 12.1% | 14.3% | 15.4% | 14.8% | 14.4% | 12.0% | 9.1% | 4.8% | 2.1% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| River Servia | 6.1% | 6.0% | 8.5% | 9.4% | 11.3% | 12.6% | 15.0% | 15.1% | 7.9% | 6.2% | 1.9% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Daniel de la Vega III | 10.3% | 11.5% | 13.2% | 14.3% | 15.0% | 13.2% | 8.8% | 7.2% | 4.6% | 1.7% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Gavin Holmes | 5.6% | 4.7% | 7.3% | 8.4% | 8.7% | 11.2% | 13.8% | 16.1% | 14.3% | 6.2% | 3.3% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Jennifer Falkner | 8.3% | 10.3% | 10.5% | 10.2% | 14.6% | 16.5% | 11.9% | 10.1% | 4.7% | 2.5% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Andrew Beute | 0.9% | 1.7% | 2.4% | 3.2% | 4.3% | 4.1% | 4.5% | 8.8% | 16.0% | 23.7% | 19.9% | 8.8% | 1.7% |
| Maggie Lennon | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.9% | 2.6% | 3.4% | 3.8% | 8.0% | 19.3% | 36.4% | 23.1% |
| Keegan Aerts | 1.1% | 1.2% | 1.6% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 5.5% | 7.4% | 9.8% | 19.0% | 20.5% | 17.8% | 7.1% | 1.6% |
| Emmalyn Holmquist | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 1.7% | 1.4% | 1.4% | 4.1% | 4.5% | 9.5% | 15.7% | 26.8% | 26.6% | 6.7% |
| Adam Bryan | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.8% | 2.2% | 3.2% | 6.2% | 19.1% | 66.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.