Race 1A

george-morris

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

50.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.8
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
Adrian Winkelman 14.8% 13.4% 11.8% 13.5% 12.0% 13.2% 10.2% 7.4% 3.2% 0.4%
Matias Martin 10.3% 11.2% 11.3% 11.9% 12.3% 13.1% 12.3% 11.2% 4.9% 1.5%
William Bailey 12.7% 14.9% 15.6% 12.4% 14.0% 12.0% 9.7% 5.7% 2.3% 0.8%
Nathan Selian 14.0% 13.9% 13.0% 14.2% 11.5% 11.9% 10.5% 6.9% 3.5% 0.7%
Grace Bray 6.2% 6.1% 6.6% 8.6% 11.2% 10.6% 14.5% 15.8% 14.1% 6.6%
Connor Macken 20.4% 17.6% 17.3% 14.9% 12.0% 8.8% 5.1% 2.5% 1.0% 0.3%
Jake Weinstein 13.3% 14.0% 14.1% 12.8% 13.8% 11.8% 9.7% 6.4% 3.6% 0.5%
Tyler Winowiecki 2.2% 1.8% 2.9% 2.8% 3.6% 5.0% 7.5% 11.8% 18.9% 43.5%
William Roberts 3.4% 3.5% 3.6% 3.8% 4.9% 6.3% 9.8% 14.5% 24.6% 25.7%
Patrick York 2.9% 3.5% 3.8% 5.1% 4.7% 7.3% 10.6% 17.9% 23.9% 20.2%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.