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📊 Prediction Accuracy
30.8%
Within 2 Positions
2.2
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Ohio State University-0.03+2.35vs Predicted
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2Michigan State University-0.42+2.04vs Predicted
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3University of Michigan-1.30+2.90vs Predicted
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4Michigan Technological University0.54-1.56vs Predicted
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5University of Michigan-2.73+3.78vs Predicted
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6Hope College-1.53+0.32vs Predicted
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7Indiana University-0.67-2.57vs Predicted
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9Purdue University-1.50-2.78vs Predicted
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10Grand Valley State University-1.75-3.11vs Predicted
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11Western Michigan University-2.71-2.16vs Predicted
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12Saint Mary's College-3.44-1.85vs Predicted
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13Saginaw Valley State University-5.16-0.69vs Predicted
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14University of Iowa-4.18-2.67vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.35Ohio State University-0.030.2%1st Place
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4.04Michigan State University-0.420.1%1st Place
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5.9University of Michigan-1.300.0%1st Place
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2.44Michigan Technological University0.540.3%1st Place
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8.78University of Michigan-2.730.0%1st Place
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6.32Hope College-1.530.0%1st Place
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4.43Indiana University-0.670.1%1st Place
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6.22Purdue University-1.500.0%1st Place
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6.89Grand Valley State University-1.750.0%1st Place
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8.84Western Michigan University-2.710.0%1st Place
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10.15Saint Mary's College-3.440.0%1st Place
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12.31Saginaw Valley State University-5.160.0%1st Place
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11.33University of Iowa-4.180.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mason Shaw | 19.1% | 20.7% | 17.9% | 15.8% | 12.1% | 7.9% | 3.6% | 1.6% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Monika Torkos | 13.4% | 15.6% | 15.0% | 16.3% | 13.7% | 12.1% | 7.1% | 4.0% | 1.8% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| River Servia | 4.0% | 6.8% | 8.5% | 10.9% | 12.2% | 14.4% | 14.1% | 13.7% | 8.6% | 5.0% | 1.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Andrew Michels | 34.2% | 25.2% | 19.2% | 11.9% | 5.3% | 2.5% | 1.2% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Andrew Beute | 2.2% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 2.8% | 4.2% | 5.2% | 8.7% | 10.7% | 13.4% | 19.6% | 20.3% | 8.3% | 1.4% |
| Jack Bergman | 4.3% | 5.0% | 7.7% | 9.2% | 9.1% | 14.4% | 14.1% | 14.3% | 10.6% | 7.5% | 3.4% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Daniel de la Vega III | 12.3% | 12.0% | 13.5% | 13.4% | 17.8% | 11.0% | 8.8% | 6.3% | 3.2% | 1.7% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Gavin Holmes | 4.8% | 5.8% | 7.7% | 8.4% | 10.1% | 13.5% | 14.2% | 13.6% | 12.6% | 7.3% | 1.8% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Carly Irwin | 3.1% | 5.4% | 4.7% | 6.5% | 9.0% | 10.1% | 14.4% | 15.2% | 15.6% | 10.4% | 4.4% | 1.1% | 0.1% |
| Keegan Aerts | 1.3% | 0.9% | 3.3% | 2.8% | 3.7% | 4.7% | 7.1% | 10.5% | 17.6% | 20.1% | 17.8% | 8.5% | 1.7% |
| Emmalyn Holmquist | 0.8% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 1.1% | 1.6% | 2.9% | 4.6% | 5.3% | 10.7% | 16.1% | 27.6% | 22.0% | 6.4% |
| Adam Bryan | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.5% | 1.3% | 1.7% | 3.5% | 6.3% | 18.5% | 67.0% |
| Maggie Lennon | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 1.6% | 3.3% | 2.8% | 7.7% | 16.7% | 41.0% | 23.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.