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📊 Prediction Accuracy
30.8%
Within 2 Positions
2.5
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Ohio State University-0.03+2.31vs Predicted
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2Indiana University-0.67+2.47vs Predicted
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3University of Michigan-1.30+2.88vs Predicted
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4Michigan Technological University0.54-1.56vs Predicted
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5Grand Valley State University-1.75+1.70vs Predicted
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7Saint Mary's College-3.44+3.13vs Predicted
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8Michigan State University-0.42-4.01vs Predicted
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9Purdue University-1.50-2.78vs Predicted
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10Hope College-1.53-3.61vs Predicted
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11University of Michigan-2.73-2.08vs Predicted
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12University of Iowa-4.18-0.80vs Predicted
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13Western Michigan University-2.71-4.01vs Predicted
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14Saginaw Valley State University-5.16-1.65vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.31Ohio State University-0.030.2%1st Place
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4.47Indiana University-0.670.1%1st Place
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5.88University of Michigan-1.300.0%1st Place
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2.44Michigan Technological University0.540.3%1st Place
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6.7Grand Valley State University-1.750.0%1st Place
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10.13Saint Mary's College-3.440.0%1st Place
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3.99Michigan State University-0.420.2%1st Place
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6.22Purdue University-1.500.0%1st Place
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6.39Hope College-1.530.0%1st Place
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8.92University of Michigan-2.730.0%1st Place
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11.2University of Iowa-4.180.0%1st Place
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8.99Western Michigan University-2.710.0%1st Place
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12.35Saginaw Valley State University-5.160.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mason Shaw | 19.1% | 22.0% | 18.1% | 14.8% | 12.0% | 7.5% | 3.8% | 1.8% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Daniel de la Vega III | 10.5% | 13.1% | 13.5% | 14.4% | 15.4% | 13.3% | 9.7% | 5.5% | 2.8% | 1.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| River Servia | 3.8% | 6.5% | 8.6% | 11.7% | 11.9% | 14.9% | 15.0% | 12.1% | 9.2% | 4.8% | 1.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Andrew Michels | 34.3% | 25.3% | 19.0% | 11.6% | 5.3% | 2.8% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Carly Irwin | 4.6% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 8.3% | 9.8% | 10.8% | 12.8% | 15.1% | 15.5% | 8.5% | 4.4% | 0.9% | 0.1% |
| Emmalyn Holmquist | 0.2% | 0.6% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 2.3% | 3.1% | 4.1% | 5.5% | 9.3% | 14.5% | 28.6% | 23.1% | 6.1% |
| Monika Torkos | 15.8% | 13.8% | 15.0% | 15.2% | 15.1% | 10.8% | 8.0% | 3.8% | 2.1% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Gavin Holmes | 4.7% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 10.5% | 12.2% | 14.9% | 16.0% | 11.1% | 5.6% | 2.9% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Jack Bergman | 3.8% | 5.6% | 7.0% | 8.4% | 10.2% | 12.8% | 14.0% | 15.1% | 11.6% | 8.6% | 2.4% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Andrew Beute | 1.5% | 0.9% | 2.6% | 3.1% | 3.3% | 4.8% | 7.1% | 10.8% | 15.2% | 21.0% | 17.8% | 10.2% | 1.7% |
| Maggie Lennon | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 1.5% | 1.7% | 2.9% | 5.7% | 10.6% | 16.9% | 37.9% | 20.9% |
| Keegan Aerts | 1.1% | 1.1% | 2.0% | 2.9% | 3.6% | 5.2% | 7.6% | 9.3% | 14.8% | 20.8% | 20.1% | 10.1% | 1.4% |
| Adam Bryan | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 1.3% | 2.2% | 3.1% | 5.5% | 16.6% | 69.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.