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📊 Prediction Accuracy
61.5%
Within 2 Positions
2.0
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Hope College-0.87+4.10vs Predicted
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2Michigan Technological University0.54+0.48vs Predicted
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3Purdue University-1.50+3.49vs Predicted
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4Indiana University-0.67+0.70vs Predicted
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5Grand Valley State University-1.75+1.90vs Predicted
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6University of Michigan-1.30-0.01vs Predicted
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7Michigan State University-0.42-2.86vs Predicted
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8Ohio State University-0.03-4.61vs Predicted
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9Western Michigan University-2.75+0.01vs Predicted
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11University of Iowa-4.18+0.25vs Predicted
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12Saint Mary's College-3.44-1.84vs Predicted
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13University of Michigan-2.73-3.93vs Predicted
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14Saginaw Valley State University-5.16-1.67vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.1Hope College-0.870.1%1st Place
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2.48Michigan Technological University0.540.4%1st Place
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6.49Purdue University-1.500.0%1st Place
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4.7Indiana University-0.670.1%1st Place
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6.9Grand Valley State University-1.750.0%1st Place
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5.99University of Michigan-1.300.1%1st Place
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4.14Michigan State University-0.420.1%1st Place
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3.39Ohio State University-0.030.2%1st Place
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9.01Western Michigan University-2.750.0%1st Place
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11.25University of Iowa-4.180.0%1st Place
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10.16Saint Mary's College-3.440.0%1st Place
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9.07University of Michigan-2.730.0%1st Place
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12.33Saginaw Valley State University-5.160.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jennifer Falkner | 7.8% | 9.8% | 12.2% | 11.1% | 14.2% | 14.6% | 11.7% | 9.5% | 6.3% | 2.0% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Andrew Michels | 35.2% | 25.4% | 17.0% | 10.6% | 6.5% | 2.9% | 1.3% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Gavin Holmes | 3.3% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 9.2% | 10.2% | 13.8% | 14.5% | 15.8% | 11.9% | 7.0% | 3.3% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Daniel de la Vega III | 9.0% | 11.7% | 12.2% | 15.0% | 15.0% | 13.5% | 11.2% | 7.1% | 3.7% | 1.5% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Carly Irwin | 3.9% | 5.1% | 3.9% | 8.0% | 7.7% | 9.5% | 13.3% | 16.4% | 16.7% | 10.0% | 4.4% | 1.0% | 0.1% |
| River Servia | 5.2% | 6.7% | 7.7% | 9.4% | 11.4% | 12.9% | 15.6% | 13.7% | 9.6% | 5.9% | 1.5% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Monika Torkos | 13.7% | 13.9% | 15.5% | 14.0% | 14.3% | 12.2% | 8.9% | 4.7% | 2.3% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Mason Shaw | 18.8% | 18.5% | 20.1% | 16.2% | 10.8% | 8.7% | 4.6% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| William O'Haver | 1.5% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 2.9% | 3.8% | 4.1% | 5.6% | 9.2% | 16.6% | 22.5% | 19.2% | 9.5% | 1.8% |
| Maggie Lennon | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.6% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 2.1% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 7.9% | 16.7% | 39.2% | 22.7% |
| Emmalyn Holmquist | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 2.0% | 2.3% | 4.2% | 7.1% | 9.2% | 16.8% | 27.9% | 21.6% | 6.3% |
| Andrew Beute | 0.8% | 1.5% | 2.4% | 2.0% | 2.8% | 4.8% | 6.5% | 9.8% | 16.1% | 22.4% | 19.7% | 9.9% | 1.3% |
| Adam Bryan | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.5% | 1.2% | 2.1% | 3.3% | 6.6% | 17.7% | 67.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.