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📊 Prediction Accuracy
61.5%
Within 2 Positions
2.2
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Michigan Technological University0.54+1.50vs Predicted
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2Grand Valley State University-1.75+4.99vs Predicted
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3Michigan State University-0.42+1.26vs Predicted
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4Indiana University-0.67+0.66vs Predicted
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5Ohio State University-0.03-1.59vs Predicted
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7Western Michigan University-2.75+1.98vs Predicted
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8Hope College-0.87-2.94vs Predicted
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9Purdue University-1.50-2.55vs Predicted
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10Saint Mary's College-3.44+0.18vs Predicted
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11University of Michigan-2.73-2.04vs Predicted
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12University of Michigan-1.30-6.09vs Predicted
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13University of Iowa-4.18-1.68vs Predicted
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14Saginaw Valley State University-5.16-1.67vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.5Michigan Technological University0.540.3%1st Place
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6.99Grand Valley State University-1.750.0%1st Place
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4.26Michigan State University-0.420.1%1st Place
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4.66Indiana University-0.670.1%1st Place
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3.41Ohio State University-0.030.2%1st Place
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8.98Western Michigan University-2.750.0%1st Place
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5.06Hope College-0.870.1%1st Place
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6.45Purdue University-1.500.0%1st Place
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10.18Saint Mary's College-3.440.0%1st Place
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8.96University of Michigan-2.730.0%1st Place
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5.91University of Michigan-1.300.0%1st Place
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11.32University of Iowa-4.180.0%1st Place
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12.33Saginaw Valley State University-5.160.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Andrew Michels | 34.6% | 24.1% | 18.2% | 11.3% | 6.3% | 3.8% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Carly Irwin | 3.5% | 3.1% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 9.4% | 13.7% | 17.8% | 15.2% | 10.9% | 4.3% | 1.5% | 0.0% |
| Monika Torkos | 10.7% | 14.7% | 16.2% | 15.7% | 12.3% | 13.3% | 8.6% | 4.9% | 2.6% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Daniel de la Vega III | 10.4% | 10.5% | 13.6% | 14.2% | 13.6% | 14.2% | 11.1% | 7.2% | 3.5% | 1.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Mason Shaw | 20.3% | 18.8% | 18.1% | 13.7% | 13.9% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 2.1% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| William O'Haver | 0.8% | 1.1% | 1.9% | 3.5% | 3.7% | 3.8% | 7.5% | 9.2% | 17.5% | 21.9% | 19.3% | 8.3% | 1.5% |
| Jennifer Falkner | 9.3% | 10.4% | 9.4% | 11.5% | 15.0% | 14.7% | 11.3% | 9.7% | 5.9% | 2.2% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Gavin Holmes | 4.1% | 6.0% | 4.8% | 7.3% | 10.5% | 13.6% | 14.1% | 16.7% | 13.2% | 7.3% | 1.8% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Emmalyn Holmquist | 0.3% | 1.1% | 1.3% | 1.5% | 2.0% | 2.0% | 3.6% | 5.4% | 8.1% | 16.3% | 27.3% | 25.3% | 5.8% |
| Andrew Beute | 1.4% | 1.6% | 1.9% | 3.4% | 2.9% | 4.5% | 6.5% | 9.2% | 17.0% | 21.9% | 19.2% | 7.9% | 2.6% |
| River Servia | 4.3% | 8.0% | 7.9% | 9.9% | 11.6% | 13.1% | 15.2% | 14.8% | 8.5% | 4.8% | 1.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Maggie Lennon | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 1.0% | 1.2% | 1.9% | 5.7% | 8.8% | 18.2% | 37.8% | 23.2% |
| Adam Bryan | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 1.6% | 3.6% | 7.2% | 18.3% | 66.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.