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📊 Prediction Accuracy
83.3%
Within 2 Positions
1.4
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Michigan Technological University0.54+1.41vs Predicted
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2Indiana University-0.67+2.38vs Predicted
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3Ohio State University-0.03+0.24vs Predicted
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4Purdue University-1.50+2.09vs Predicted
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5Michigan State University-0.42-1.03vs Predicted
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6University of Michigan-1.30-0.30vs Predicted
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7Hope College-1.53-0.92vs Predicted
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8Grand Valley State University-1.75-1.49vs Predicted
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10University of Michigan-2.73-1.69vs Predicted
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11Saint Mary's College-3.44-1.56vs Predicted
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12University of Iowa-4.18-1.52vs Predicted
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13Saginaw Valley State University-5.16-1.63vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.41Michigan Technological University0.540.3%1st Place
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4.38Indiana University-0.670.1%1st Place
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3.24Ohio State University-0.030.2%1st Place
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6.09Purdue University-1.500.0%1st Place
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3.97Michigan State University-0.420.1%1st Place
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5.7University of Michigan-1.300.1%1st Place
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6.08Hope College-1.530.1%1st Place
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6.51Grand Valley State University-1.750.0%1st Place
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8.31University of Michigan-2.730.0%1st Place
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9.44Saint Mary's College-3.440.0%1st Place
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10.48University of Iowa-4.180.0%1st Place
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11.37Saginaw Valley State University-5.160.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Andrew Michels | 34.7% | 26.5% | 18.5% | 11.2% | 4.4% | 2.9% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Daniel de la Vega III | 10.5% | 11.6% | 15.2% | 16.0% | 15.0% | 13.2% | 10.4% | 5.0% | 2.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Mason Shaw | 20.4% | 20.5% | 17.8% | 16.4% | 12.6% | 7.5% | 3.1% | 1.4% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Gavin Holmes | 3.8% | 5.6% | 7.1% | 9.2% | 13.0% | 13.3% | 15.5% | 16.1% | 10.8% | 4.8% | 0.6% | 0.2% |
| Monika Torkos | 13.4% | 15.7% | 16.8% | 16.2% | 12.5% | 11.6% | 7.5% | 4.4% | 1.6% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| River Servia | 5.2% | 6.8% | 8.8% | 9.6% | 12.9% | 16.1% | 15.4% | 13.2% | 8.5% | 2.8% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| Jack Bergman | 5.0% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 9.1% | 10.5% | 14.1% | 15.4% | 16.9% | 11.7% | 4.0% | 0.9% | 0.0% |
| Carly Irwin | 4.0% | 4.5% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 11.1% | 11.7% | 15.0% | 17.5% | 15.4% | 6.1% | 2.0% | 0.2% |
| Andrew Beute | 1.7% | 1.4% | 1.4% | 3.0% | 3.6% | 6.2% | 9.7% | 13.6% | 24.7% | 25.8% | 8.4% | 0.5% |
| Emmalyn Holmquist | 0.5% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 1.8% | 2.8% | 2.5% | 4.4% | 6.8% | 14.7% | 32.0% | 26.2% | 6.4% |
| Maggie Lennon | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 1.6% | 3.7% | 6.8% | 18.1% | 41.2% | 24.8% |
| Adam Bryan | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.8% | 1.0% | 2.4% | 5.9% | 20.1% | 67.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.