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📊 Prediction Accuracy
66.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.8
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Michigan Technological University0.54+1.38vs Predicted
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2Ohio State University-0.03+1.27vs Predicted
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3Hope College-1.53+3.15vs Predicted
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4Indiana University-0.67+0.42vs Predicted
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5University of Michigan-1.30+0.65vs Predicted
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6Michigan State University-0.42-2.01vs Predicted
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7Grand Valley State University-1.75-0.55vs Predicted
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8University of Michigan-2.73+0.30vs Predicted
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10Saginaw Valley State University-5.16+1.37vs Predicted
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11University of Iowa-4.18-0.62vs Predicted
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12Saint Mary's College-3.44-2.45vs Predicted
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13Purdue University-1.50-6.91vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.38Michigan Technological University0.540.4%1st Place
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3.27Ohio State University-0.030.2%1st Place
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6.15Hope College-1.530.1%1st Place
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4.42Indiana University-0.670.1%1st Place
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5.65University of Michigan-1.300.1%1st Place
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3.99Michigan State University-0.420.1%1st Place
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6.45Grand Valley State University-1.750.0%1st Place
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8.3University of Michigan-2.730.0%1st Place
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11.37Saginaw Valley State University-5.160.0%1st Place
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10.38University of Iowa-4.180.0%1st Place
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9.55Saint Mary's College-3.440.0%1st Place
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6.09Purdue University-1.500.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Andrew Michels | 35.6% | 24.9% | 20.7% | 9.4% | 5.0% | 3.2% | 1.1% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Mason Shaw | 18.8% | 23.9% | 15.6% | 16.8% | 11.4% | 7.6% | 4.3% | 1.2% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jack Bergman | 5.3% | 4.9% | 7.0% | 9.1% | 9.9% | 11.6% | 16.5% | 18.9% | 11.9% | 4.1% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
| Daniel de la Vega III | 8.5% | 14.5% | 15.0% | 16.1% | 12.6% | 14.2% | 9.4% | 6.5% | 2.5% | 0.7% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| River Servia | 5.3% | 6.5% | 9.9% | 9.5% | 13.6% | 15.8% | 14.3% | 13.2% | 8.5% | 3.1% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Monika Torkos | 14.5% | 13.6% | 15.2% | 15.7% | 15.9% | 12.6% | 7.3% | 4.0% | 1.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Carly Irwin | 4.1% | 4.5% | 5.9% | 7.7% | 10.3% | 12.2% | 15.4% | 18.1% | 13.9% | 6.1% | 1.7% | 0.1% |
| Andrew Beute | 1.1% | 1.4% | 2.7% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 7.4% | 12.6% | 25.6% | 23.5% | 9.3% | 2.3% |
| Adam Bryan | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 1.5% | 3.1% | 6.4% | 19.9% | 66.9% |
| Maggie Lennon | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.4% | 0.7% | 2.0% | 1.6% | 3.1% | 2.5% | 7.3% | 19.3% | 40.4% | 22.4% |
| Emmalyn Holmquist | 1.3% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 4.2% | 7.3% | 12.9% | 33.0% | 26.4% | 8.2% |
| Gavin Holmes | 5.1% | 5.0% | 6.7% | 8.9% | 11.8% | 14.2% | 16.4% | 14.2% | 12.8% | 3.6% | 1.3% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.