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📊 Prediction Accuracy
66.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.5
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Michigan Technological University0.54+1.49vs Predicted
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2Michigan State University-0.42+2.11vs Predicted
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3Hope College-0.87+1.96vs Predicted
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4Purdue University-1.50+2.28vs Predicted
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5Indiana University-0.67-0.43vs Predicted
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6Ohio State University-0.03-2.63vs Predicted
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7Grand Valley State University-1.75-0.37vs Predicted
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8University of Michigan-1.30-2.24vs Predicted
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9University of Michigan-2.73-0.56vs Predicted
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10Saint Mary's College-3.44-0.49vs Predicted
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12University of Iowa-4.18-1.49vs Predicted
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13Saginaw Valley State University-5.16-1.62vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.49Michigan Technological University0.540.3%1st Place
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4.11Michigan State University-0.420.1%1st Place
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4.96Hope College-0.870.1%1st Place
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6.28Purdue University-1.500.0%1st Place
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4.57Indiana University-0.670.1%1st Place
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3.37Ohio State University-0.030.2%1st Place
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6.63Grand Valley State University-1.750.0%1st Place
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5.76University of Michigan-1.300.1%1st Place
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8.44University of Michigan-2.730.0%1st Place
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9.51Saint Mary's College-3.440.0%1st Place
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10.51University of Iowa-4.180.0%1st Place
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11.38Saginaw Valley State University-5.160.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Andrew Michels | 32.8% | 27.3% | 18.5% | 9.5% | 6.4% | 3.6% | 1.3% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Monika Torkos | 11.7% | 15.5% | 15.7% | 16.3% | 13.6% | 11.9% | 8.2% | 5.0% | 2.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jennifer Falkner | 9.5% | 8.5% | 11.0% | 12.7% | 15.7% | 13.1% | 13.3% | 11.3% | 4.2% | 0.7% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Gavin Holmes | 3.5% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 8.7% | 11.2% | 14.7% | 15.2% | 16.0% | 14.3% | 4.3% | 0.8% | 0.2% |
| Daniel de la Vega III | 10.4% | 9.5% | 14.6% | 15.8% | 14.4% | 14.3% | 9.9% | 6.9% | 3.3% | 0.9% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Mason Shaw | 19.6% | 19.4% | 18.1% | 15.4% | 12.5% | 7.9% | 4.6% | 1.7% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Carly Irwin | 4.2% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 8.0% | 11.1% | 15.7% | 18.7% | 17.1% | 6.4% | 1.9% | 0.1% |
| River Servia | 5.6% | 7.7% | 7.3% | 9.9% | 11.7% | 14.3% | 15.7% | 14.9% | 9.9% | 2.0% | 1.0% | 0.0% |
| Andrew Beute | 1.3% | 1.2% | 1.8% | 2.7% | 2.3% | 5.4% | 10.1% | 13.2% | 25.8% | 26.8% | 8.9% | 0.5% |
| Emmalyn Holmquist | 0.6% | 0.5% | 1.0% | 1.5% | 2.9% | 2.6% | 3.4% | 7.2% | 13.5% | 34.2% | 26.2% | 6.4% |
| Maggie Lennon | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 1.7% | 3.4% | 6.8% | 18.5% | 41.2% | 24.9% |
| Adam Bryan | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.9% | 1.3% | 2.2% | 6.0% | 20.0% | 67.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.