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📊 Prediction Accuracy
75.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.7
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Michigan Technological University0.54+1.49vs Predicted
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2Ohio State University-0.03+1.35vs Predicted
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3Purdue University-1.50+3.24vs Predicted
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4Hope College-0.87+1.01vs Predicted
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5Michigan State University-0.42-0.88vs Predicted
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6Grand Valley State University-1.75+0.78vs Predicted
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7Indiana University-0.67-2.53vs Predicted
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9University of Michigan-2.73-0.58vs Predicted
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10University of Michigan-1.30-4.25vs Predicted
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11Saint Mary's College-3.44-1.51vs Predicted
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12University of Iowa-4.18-1.50vs Predicted
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13Saginaw Valley State University-5.16-1.61vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.49Michigan Technological University0.540.3%1st Place
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3.35Ohio State University-0.030.2%1st Place
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6.24Purdue University-1.500.0%1st Place
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5.01Hope College-0.870.1%1st Place
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4.12Michigan State University-0.420.1%1st Place
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6.78Grand Valley State University-1.750.0%1st Place
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4.47Indiana University-0.670.1%1st Place
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8.42University of Michigan-2.730.0%1st Place
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5.75University of Michigan-1.300.0%1st Place
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9.49Saint Mary's College-3.440.0%1st Place
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10.5University of Iowa-4.180.0%1st Place
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11.39Saginaw Valley State University-5.160.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Andrew Michels | 33.7% | 25.7% | 18.3% | 10.4% | 6.3% | 3.7% | 1.5% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Mason Shaw | 18.9% | 20.7% | 19.3% | 14.2% | 11.0% | 9.1% | 5.0% | 1.3% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Gavin Holmes | 4.8% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 9.3% | 9.4% | 11.4% | 15.9% | 19.9% | 12.0% | 5.2% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Jennifer Falkner | 6.3% | 10.4% | 12.3% | 12.8% | 15.2% | 14.1% | 13.7% | 9.3% | 4.7% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Monika Torkos | 13.3% | 13.5% | 16.2% | 14.7% | 15.0% | 11.0% | 9.0% | 5.3% | 1.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Carly Irwin | 3.3% | 4.0% | 5.4% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 11.0% | 14.8% | 19.0% | 18.8% | 7.9% | 1.2% | 0.2% |
| Daniel de la Vega III | 12.6% | 11.8% | 12.0% | 13.9% | 13.7% | 14.7% | 11.5% | 6.7% | 2.3% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Andrew Beute | 1.1% | 1.2% | 2.4% | 3.6% | 4.4% | 4.1% | 7.5% | 13.2% | 25.4% | 25.5% | 10.4% | 1.2% |
| River Servia | 4.7% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 11.3% | 13.9% | 17.0% | 15.2% | 14.7% | 8.0% | 2.1% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Emmalyn Holmquist | 0.5% | 0.1% | 1.4% | 2.2% | 2.6% | 2.2% | 3.3% | 7.1% | 16.4% | 31.6% | 26.0% | 6.6% |
| Maggie Lennon | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 7.1% | 19.6% | 40.9% | 24.5% |
| Adam Bryan | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.6% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 3.1% | 6.2% | 20.0% | 67.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.