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📊 Prediction Accuracy
69.2%
Within 2 Positions
1.8
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Michigan Technological University0.07+1.61vs Predicted
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2Ohio State University-1.27+3.41vs Predicted
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3Western Michigan University-2.01+4.41vs Predicted
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4University of Michigan-1.09+1.01vs Predicted
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5Michigan State University-1.11-0.02vs Predicted
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6Northern Michigan University-1.73+0.55vs Predicted
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7University of Notre Dame-2.01+0.28vs Predicted
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8Purdue University-2.38+0.25vs Predicted
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9Grand Valley State University-1.45-3.05vs Predicted
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10Indiana University-1.27-4.63vs Predicted
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11Hope College-3.05-1.27vs Predicted
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12University of Puget Sound-3.21-1.72vs Predicted
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13Saginaw Valley State University-4.51-0.82vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.61Michigan Technological University0.070.3%1st Place
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5.41Ohio State University-1.270.1%1st Place
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7.41Western Michigan University-2.010.0%1st Place
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5.01University of Michigan-1.090.1%1st Place
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4.98Michigan State University-1.110.1%1st Place
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6.55Northern Michigan University-1.730.1%1st Place
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7.28University of Notre Dame-2.010.1%1st Place
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8.25Purdue University-2.380.0%1st Place
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5.95Grand Valley State University-1.450.1%1st Place
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5.37Indiana University-1.270.1%1st Place
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9.73Hope College-3.050.0%1st Place
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10.28University of Puget Sound-3.210.0%1st Place
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12.18Saginaw Valley State University-4.510.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lucas Rodenroth | 33.4% | 25.4% | 16.1% | 10.9% | 6.7% | 3.5% | 2.2% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Emily Williams | 8.4% | 9.5% | 11.0% | 11.8% | 11.9% | 11.9% | 10.7% | 9.3% | 6.9% | 5.3% | 2.0% | 1.0% | 0.3% |
| Jack Charlton | 3.5% | 3.6% | 6.1% | 7.4% | 8.4% | 8.8% | 9.0% | 9.6% | 12.8% | 13.0% | 11.6% | 5.5% | 0.7% |
| John McCalmont | 10.1% | 11.7% | 12.8% | 12.0% | 11.4% | 12.1% | 8.9% | 8.3% | 7.2% | 3.6% | 1.3% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Ella Beck | 10.9% | 12.4% | 12.0% | 12.9% | 9.9% | 11.5% | 9.6% | 8.4% | 6.1% | 3.4% | 2.0% | 0.8% | 0.1% |
| Julia Janssen | 5.7% | 6.3% | 8.9% | 7.0% | 9.6% | 9.4% | 11.1% | 12.4% | 10.5% | 8.2% | 7.1% | 3.4% | 0.4% |
| Natalia Luna | 5.4% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 7.6% | 7.6% | 8.6% | 11.0% | 12.7% | 13.1% | 10.7% | 4.6% | 1.5% |
| Mathis Destouches | 2.9% | 4.4% | 3.7% | 4.3% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 9.0% | 8.2% | 12.8% | 14.9% | 15.4% | 11.4% | 2.0% |
| Reid Kwiatkowski | 7.0% | 8.6% | 8.6% | 9.3% | 12.2% | 10.9% | 11.0% | 10.0% | 8.6% | 7.5% | 4.0% | 2.0% | 0.3% |
| Zander West | 10.0% | 9.7% | 11.3% | 11.8% | 10.7% | 11.0% | 10.0% | 8.7% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 2.8% | 1.2% | 0.2% |
| Kent Colbrunn | 1.3% | 1.6% | 2.0% | 3.5% | 2.8% | 3.7% | 5.0% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 12.4% | 19.7% | 23.8% | 10.0% |
| Max McCumber | 1.0% | 1.2% | 1.9% | 2.2% | 2.1% | 3.5% | 4.1% | 4.7% | 5.7% | 9.7% | 17.4% | 32.0% | 14.5% |
| Piper Luke | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.4% | 1.0% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 1.5% | 2.1% | 2.8% | 6.0% | 13.8% | 69.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.