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📊 Prediction Accuracy
69.2%
Within 2 Positions
1.6
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Ohio State University-1.27+4.43vs Predicted
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2University of Michigan-1.09+3.01vs Predicted
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3Michigan Technological University0.07-0.37vs Predicted
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4Indiana University-1.27+1.46vs Predicted
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5Michigan State University-1.11-0.02vs Predicted
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6University of Notre Dame-2.01+1.32vs Predicted
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7Northern Michigan University-1.73-0.44vs Predicted
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8Grand Valley State University-1.45-2.19vs Predicted
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9Western Michigan University-2.01-1.59vs Predicted
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10Hope College-3.05-0.18vs Predicted
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11Purdue University-2.38-2.84vs Predicted
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12University of Puget Sound-3.21-1.75vs Predicted
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13Saginaw Valley State University-4.51-0.84vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.43Ohio State University-1.270.1%1st Place
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5.01University of Michigan-1.090.1%1st Place
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2.63Michigan Technological University0.070.3%1st Place
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5.46Indiana University-1.270.1%1st Place
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4.98Michigan State University-1.110.1%1st Place
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7.32University of Notre Dame-2.010.0%1st Place
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6.56Northern Michigan University-1.730.1%1st Place
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5.81Grand Valley State University-1.450.1%1st Place
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7.41Western Michigan University-2.010.0%1st Place
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9.82Hope College-3.050.0%1st Place
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8.16Purdue University-2.380.0%1st Place
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10.25University of Puget Sound-3.210.0%1st Place
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12.16Saginaw Valley State University-4.510.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Emily Williams | 8.9% | 9.2% | 12.0% | 11.2% | 11.2% | 10.2% | 11.6% | 8.6% | 8.5% | 4.8% | 2.7% | 0.9% | 0.2% |
| John McCalmont | 10.7% | 11.4% | 11.5% | 12.0% | 14.3% | 11.5% | 7.6% | 8.0% | 6.4% | 3.9% | 1.9% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
| Lucas Rodenroth | 34.5% | 23.2% | 15.2% | 12.3% | 7.2% | 3.9% | 2.3% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Zander West | 8.0% | 10.6% | 10.1% | 13.0% | 10.7% | 10.1% | 11.3% | 9.4% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 3.0% | 0.6% | 0.2% |
| Ella Beck | 10.5% | 12.6% | 14.1% | 10.1% | 11.1% | 10.8% | 9.1% | 9.4% | 5.4% | 4.5% | 2.0% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Natalia Luna | 4.4% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 6.9% | 8.2% | 8.3% | 9.3% | 11.0% | 12.4% | 12.4% | 10.2% | 6.0% | 0.8% |
| Julia Janssen | 6.4% | 6.8% | 8.7% | 6.5% | 9.0% | 9.1% | 11.3% | 9.6% | 11.7% | 10.4% | 7.3% | 2.9% | 0.3% |
| Reid Kwiatkowski | 7.0% | 8.9% | 10.0% | 10.1% | 9.5% | 12.9% | 11.2% | 10.1% | 8.4% | 6.9% | 3.2% | 1.6% | 0.2% |
| Jack Charlton | 4.5% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 7.2% | 9.1% | 8.5% | 11.6% | 11.9% | 12.2% | 11.6% | 5.9% | 1.3% |
| Kent Colbrunn | 1.6% | 1.7% | 2.8% | 2.3% | 2.4% | 4.3% | 4.4% | 5.1% | 8.1% | 11.2% | 19.0% | 26.4% | 10.7% |
| Mathis Destouches | 2.1% | 4.1% | 3.3% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 7.9% | 10.3% | 12.1% | 14.1% | 15.5% | 9.7% | 2.2% |
| Max McCumber | 1.0% | 1.3% | 1.6% | 2.7% | 2.1% | 2.8% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 5.8% | 9.6% | 18.2% | 30.3% | 15.0% |
| Piper Luke | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 1.0% | 0.7% | 1.3% | 2.1% | 3.7% | 5.3% | 14.6% | 69.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.