Race 2A

george-morris

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

70.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.3
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
Adrian Winkelman 13.5% 12.8% 12.7% 13.2% 14.2% 12.8% 10.4% 6.8% 2.8% 0.8%
Connor Macken 20.8% 19.7% 17.5% 13.8% 10.5% 7.8% 5.4% 3.4% 1.1% 0.1%
Jake Weinstein 13.2% 13.5% 13.2% 13.2% 13.4% 12.4% 11.5% 6.6% 2.4% 0.8%
William Bailey 14.4% 15.2% 13.9% 12.9% 12.3% 11.2% 9.8% 6.8% 3.2% 0.4%
Matias Martin 11.5% 10.2% 11.8% 12.4% 12.8% 13.0% 10.7% 10.1% 6.2% 1.5%
Grace Bray 5.2% 6.0% 7.7% 8.8% 9.5% 12.0% 14.8% 15.8% 13.7% 6.6%
Nathan Selian 13.4% 14.9% 13.5% 13.6% 12.8% 11.5% 9.9% 7.0% 3.0% 0.5%
Patrick York 3.1% 3.1% 4.2% 4.7% 5.9% 8.6% 10.8% 16.0% 21.9% 21.6%
Tyler Winowiecki 2.1% 2.2% 2.0% 2.8% 3.6% 4.7% 7.5% 11.5% 21.2% 42.4%
William Roberts 2.9% 2.4% 3.5% 4.8% 5.0% 6.0% 9.2% 16.2% 24.6% 25.3%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.