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📊 Prediction Accuracy
57.1%
Within 2 Positions
1.7
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Michigan Technological University0.07+1.53vs Predicted
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2Ohio State University-1.27+3.07vs Predicted
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3Indiana University-1.27+2.29vs Predicted
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4Michigan State University-1.11+0.91vs Predicted
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5University of Michigan-1.09-0.07vs Predicted
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6Purdue University-2.38+2.35vs Predicted
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7Grand Valley State University-2.03+0.07vs Predicted
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8Northern Michigan University-1.73-1.55vs Predicted
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9Western Michigan University-2.01-1.67vs Predicted
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10University of Notre Dame-2.01-2.66vs Predicted
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11Saginaw Valley State University-4.51+1.44vs Predicted
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12Hope College-3.05-2.15vs Predicted
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13University of Puget Sound-3.21-2.88vs Predicted
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14University of Iowa-5.43-0.69vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.53Michigan Technological University0.070.4%1st Place
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5.07Ohio State University-1.270.1%1st Place
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5.29Indiana University-1.270.1%1st Place
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4.91Michigan State University-1.110.1%1st Place
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4.93University of Michigan-1.090.1%1st Place
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8.35Purdue University-2.380.0%1st Place
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7.07Grand Valley State University-2.030.1%1st Place
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6.45Northern Michigan University-1.730.1%1st Place
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7.33Western Michigan University-2.010.0%1st Place
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7.34University of Notre Dame-2.010.0%1st Place
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12.44Saginaw Valley State University-4.510.0%1st Place
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9.85Hope College-3.050.0%1st Place
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10.12University of Puget Sound-3.210.0%1st Place
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13.31University of Iowa-5.430.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lucas Rodenroth | 37.8% | 23.5% | 14.3% | 10.6% | 6.0% | 4.7% | 1.5% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Emily Williams | 9.1% | 13.1% | 11.5% | 12.2% | 10.5% | 12.2% | 11.5% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 3.8% | 2.2% | 0.8% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Zander West | 9.1% | 10.7% | 11.4% | 10.9% | 12.5% | 11.2% | 10.2% | 8.8% | 7.1% | 4.4% | 2.7% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Ella Beck | 8.8% | 13.4% | 13.3% | 12.5% | 14.5% | 9.8% | 8.6% | 7.2% | 6.4% | 3.2% | 1.3% | 1.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| John McCalmont | 8.6% | 12.3% | 14.2% | 14.0% | 12.5% | 10.3% | 8.5% | 8.2% | 5.3% | 4.1% | 1.2% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Mathis Destouches | 3.3% | 2.8% | 3.9% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 8.8% | 9.8% | 10.7% | 13.7% | 14.4% | 11.7% | 4.1% | 0.4% |
| Garrett Szlachta | 5.1% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 8.5% | 11.0% | 11.8% | 10.0% | 12.7% | 9.3% | 4.0% | 1.4% | 0.2% |
| Julia Janssen | 6.4% | 6.7% | 8.9% | 8.1% | 9.6% | 10.4% | 9.1% | 11.0% | 9.7% | 9.7% | 6.1% | 3.6% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| Jack Charlton | 4.4% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 8.4% | 10.5% | 12.5% | 12.9% | 12.5% | 7.9% | 5.2% | 1.7% | 0.3% |
| Natalia Luna | 4.1% | 3.6% | 6.1% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 10.2% | 9.3% | 9.8% | 13.0% | 12.1% | 9.3% | 5.3% | 1.9% | 0.2% |
| Piper Luke | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 1.8% | 1.6% | 2.5% | 6.6% | 12.7% | 43.9% | 26.7% |
| Kent Colbrunn | 1.2% | 1.3% | 2.9% | 2.7% | 3.0% | 3.7% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 8.4% | 10.1% | 19.7% | 23.1% | 10.7% | 2.4% |
| Max McCumber | 1.7% | 1.5% | 1.7% | 1.9% | 3.1% | 3.1% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 7.2% | 10.3% | 17.2% | 25.3% | 14.6% | 2.6% |
| Zachary Warren | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.3% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 1.9% | 5.8% | 20.8% | 67.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.