← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
78.6%
Within 2 Positions
1.6
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Michigan Technological University0.07+1.54vs Predicted
-
2Ohio State University-1.27+3.08vs Predicted
-
3University of Michigan-1.09+1.81vs Predicted
-
4Michigan State University-1.11+0.93vs Predicted
-
5Indiana University-1.27+0.41vs Predicted
-
6Western Michigan University-2.01+1.36vs Predicted
-
7Grand Valley State University-2.03+0.07vs Predicted
-
8Purdue University-2.38+0.19vs Predicted
-
9University of Notre Dame-2.01-1.64vs Predicted
-
10University of Puget Sound-3.21+0.27vs Predicted
-
11Saginaw Valley State University-4.51+1.42vs Predicted
-
12Hope College-3.05-2.16vs Predicted
-
13Northern Michigan University-1.73-6.59vs Predicted
-
14University of Iowa-5.43-0.70vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
2.54Michigan Technological University0.070.4%1st Place
-
5.08Ohio State University-1.270.1%1st Place
-
4.81University of Michigan-1.090.1%1st Place
-
4.93Michigan State University-1.110.1%1st Place
-
5.41Indiana University-1.270.1%1st Place
-
7.36Western Michigan University-2.010.1%1st Place
-
7.07Grand Valley State University-2.030.1%1st Place
-
8.19Purdue University-2.380.0%1st Place
-
7.36University of Notre Dame-2.010.0%1st Place
-
10.27University of Puget Sound-3.210.0%1st Place
-
12.42Saginaw Valley State University-4.510.0%1st Place
-
9.84Hope College-3.050.0%1st Place
-
6.41Northern Michigan University-1.730.1%1st Place
-
13.3University of Iowa-5.430.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lucas Rodenroth | 37.6% | 22.9% | 14.4% | 11.3% | 6.8% | 3.7% | 1.6% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Emily Williams | 9.1% | 12.7% | 12.3% | 11.6% | 10.5% | 12.3% | 11.5% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 4.4% | 2.0% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| John McCalmont | 10.8% | 12.4% | 13.1% | 13.1% | 13.8% | 9.6% | 9.0% | 7.7% | 5.3% | 3.1% | 1.7% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ella Beck | 8.7% | 13.5% | 13.3% | 12.7% | 12.5% | 11.6% | 7.7% | 8.3% | 5.6% | 3.7% | 1.7% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Zander West | 7.2% | 9.6% | 12.0% | 12.2% | 13.1% | 11.0% | 9.4% | 10.1% | 7.2% | 4.6% | 2.1% | 1.2% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Jack Charlton | 5.1% | 3.7% | 5.4% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 10.5% | 9.7% | 10.0% | 11.6% | 12.5% | 8.8% | 7.2% | 1.5% | 0.1% |
| Garrett Szlachta | 5.2% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 7.8% | 8.5% | 10.5% | 11.0% | 10.8% | 12.2% | 8.8% | 5.4% | 0.8% | 0.2% |
| Mathis Destouches | 2.9% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 6.4% | 9.5% | 8.4% | 10.4% | 12.0% | 15.7% | 11.7% | 3.2% | 0.5% |
| Natalia Luna | 4.6% | 4.1% | 5.3% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 9.0% | 9.7% | 13.5% | 12.5% | 10.4% | 9.9% | 5.4% | 1.8% | 0.2% |
| Max McCumber | 1.3% | 1.9% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 2.0% | 2.6% | 4.2% | 5.5% | 7.7% | 11.4% | 17.3% | 24.5% | 15.0% | 3.5% |
| Piper Luke | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 1.3% | 1.2% | 1.9% | 2.9% | 5.4% | 12.8% | 44.5% | 26.5% |
| Kent Colbrunn | 1.1% | 1.3% | 3.0% | 3.0% | 2.7% | 2.8% | 5.4% | 6.4% | 8.3% | 12.0% | 18.1% | 22.3% | 11.4% | 2.2% |
| Julia Janssen | 6.0% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 8.2% | 11.0% | 10.8% | 10.0% | 9.4% | 11.5% | 9.1% | 6.2% | 2.5% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Zachary Warren | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 1.1% | 1.3% | 2.2% | 5.6% | 20.6% | 66.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.