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📊 Prediction Accuracy
76.9%
Within 2 Positions
1.5
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Michigan Technological University0.07+1.60vs Predicted
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2Michigan State University-1.11+3.05vs Predicted
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3Ohio State University-1.27+2.46vs Predicted
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4University of Michigan-1.09+1.00vs Predicted
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5Indiana University-1.27+0.38vs Predicted
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6University of Notre Dame-2.01+1.30vs Predicted
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7Northern Michigan University-1.73-0.49vs Predicted
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8Purdue University-2.38+0.26vs Predicted
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9Western Michigan University-2.01-1.58vs Predicted
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10Grand Valley State University-1.45-4.14vs Predicted
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11Hope College-3.05-1.28vs Predicted
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12University of Puget Sound-3.21-1.73vs Predicted
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13Saginaw Valley State University-4.51-0.82vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.6Michigan Technological University0.070.3%1st Place
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5.05Michigan State University-1.110.1%1st Place
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5.46Ohio State University-1.270.1%1st Place
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5.0University of Michigan-1.090.1%1st Place
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5.38Indiana University-1.270.1%1st Place
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7.3University of Notre Dame-2.010.0%1st Place
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6.51Northern Michigan University-1.730.1%1st Place
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8.26Purdue University-2.380.0%1st Place
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7.42Western Michigan University-2.010.0%1st Place
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5.86Grand Valley State University-1.450.1%1st Place
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9.72Hope College-3.050.0%1st Place
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10.27University of Puget Sound-3.210.0%1st Place
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12.18Saginaw Valley State University-4.510.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lucas Rodenroth | 34.0% | 23.7% | 16.3% | 12.3% | 6.9% | 3.5% | 1.7% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ella Beck | 9.8% | 11.7% | 12.2% | 12.0% | 13.0% | 11.6% | 8.8% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 3.1% | 2.3% | 0.7% | 0.2% |
| Emily Williams | 7.4% | 10.1% | 11.4% | 12.3% | 10.6% | 12.0% | 11.5% | 8.0% | 7.6% | 4.5% | 3.8% | 0.6% | 0.2% |
| John McCalmont | 11.0% | 11.2% | 11.8% | 12.7% | 11.8% | 11.8% | 8.5% | 8.8% | 6.0% | 4.4% | 1.5% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Zander West | 9.8% | 9.9% | 11.1% | 11.2% | 10.7% | 9.9% | 12.2% | 9.3% | 6.5% | 4.9% | 3.7% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Natalia Luna | 4.0% | 5.0% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 9.2% | 12.2% | 12.1% | 12.7% | 9.5% | 5.9% | 1.0% |
| Julia Janssen | 6.9% | 6.3% | 8.8% | 7.6% | 8.2% | 9.4% | 10.1% | 12.3% | 9.7% | 9.7% | 7.9% | 2.8% | 0.3% |
| Mathis Destouches | 2.7% | 5.0% | 2.9% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 4.7% | 9.1% | 9.3% | 11.3% | 16.5% | 14.4% | 11.6% | 2.0% |
| Jack Charlton | 3.8% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 7.5% | 9.0% | 9.6% | 10.6% | 12.1% | 12.7% | 10.9% | 6.1% | 1.2% |
| Reid Kwiatkowski | 8.1% | 8.2% | 9.4% | 9.5% | 11.6% | 12.4% | 8.9% | 9.8% | 8.3% | 7.7% | 3.5% | 2.0% | 0.6% |
| Kent Colbrunn | 1.2% | 1.7% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 3.3% | 4.4% | 4.1% | 6.0% | 9.9% | 11.7% | 19.3% | 23.5% | 10.0% |
| Max McCumber | 0.9% | 1.3% | 1.8% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 5.1% | 4.3% | 6.5% | 9.4% | 16.3% | 32.3% | 14.6% |
| Piper Luke | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.3% | 1.0% | 0.7% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 2.1% | 2.6% | 6.9% | 13.4% | 69.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.