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📊 Prediction Accuracy
61.5%
Within 2 Positions
1.7
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Michigan Technological University0.07+1.62vs Predicted
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2University of Michigan-1.09+3.00vs Predicted
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3Ohio State University-1.27+2.48vs Predicted
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4Indiana University-1.27+1.46vs Predicted
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5Western Michigan University-2.01+2.22vs Predicted
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6Michigan State University-1.11-0.99vs Predicted
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7Northern Michigan University-1.73-0.46vs Predicted
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8Grand Valley State University-1.45-2.17vs Predicted
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9University of Notre Dame-2.01-1.57vs Predicted
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10Hope College-3.05-0.16vs Predicted
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11Purdue University-2.38-2.86vs Predicted
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12University of Puget Sound-3.21-1.71vs Predicted
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13Saginaw Valley State University-4.51-0.84vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.62Michigan Technological University0.070.3%1st Place
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5.0University of Michigan-1.090.1%1st Place
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5.48Ohio State University-1.270.1%1st Place
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5.46Indiana University-1.270.1%1st Place
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7.22Western Michigan University-2.010.1%1st Place
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5.01Michigan State University-1.110.1%1st Place
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6.54Northern Michigan University-1.730.1%1st Place
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5.83Grand Valley State University-1.450.1%1st Place
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7.43University of Notre Dame-2.010.0%1st Place
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9.84Hope College-3.050.0%1st Place
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8.14Purdue University-2.380.0%1st Place
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10.29University of Puget Sound-3.210.0%1st Place
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12.16Saginaw Valley State University-4.510.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lucas Rodenroth | 34.0% | 23.8% | 16.4% | 11.3% | 6.8% | 4.3% | 2.1% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| John McCalmont | 11.1% | 10.7% | 12.3% | 12.4% | 12.8% | 11.1% | 9.1% | 8.4% | 5.9% | 3.0% | 2.5% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Emily Williams | 7.7% | 10.4% | 10.4% | 11.4% | 10.7% | 11.8% | 11.8% | 10.4% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 2.9% | 0.5% | 0.2% |
| Zander West | 9.0% | 9.5% | 10.2% | 12.6% | 10.9% | 10.5% | 10.7% | 9.1% | 7.9% | 6.2% | 2.7% | 0.5% | 0.2% |
| Jack Charlton | 5.0% | 4.3% | 6.5% | 8.4% | 7.0% | 7.7% | 9.8% | 9.7% | 12.6% | 11.3% | 11.6% | 5.5% | 0.6% |
| Ella Beck | 10.2% | 12.0% | 12.6% | 12.0% | 12.7% | 11.4% | 7.8% | 8.0% | 6.2% | 4.2% | 2.4% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Julia Janssen | 6.6% | 6.8% | 9.3% | 5.8% | 8.2% | 10.2% | 10.0% | 12.2% | 10.4% | 10.2% | 6.5% | 3.5% | 0.3% |
| Reid Kwiatkowski | 7.1% | 10.1% | 9.0% | 9.0% | 11.0% | 10.8% | 12.2% | 9.6% | 8.6% | 7.5% | 3.2% | 1.6% | 0.3% |
| Natalia Luna | 3.7% | 6.1% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 7.7% | 10.6% | 11.5% | 12.0% | 12.7% | 11.0% | 5.9% | 1.3% |
| Kent Colbrunn | 1.5% | 1.9% | 1.4% | 3.4% | 3.0% | 4.3% | 3.4% | 4.5% | 8.6% | 11.8% | 19.9% | 25.6% | 10.7% |
| Mathis Destouches | 2.6% | 3.0% | 4.6% | 5.6% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 10.1% | 11.7% | 14.7% | 14.6% | 10.4% | 2.1% |
| Max McCumber | 1.1% | 1.0% | 1.8% | 1.4% | 3.1% | 2.9% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 6.8% | 9.6% | 17.3% | 30.8% | 15.1% |
| Piper Luke | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 1.0% | 0.7% | 1.5% | 2.4% | 3.1% | 5.4% | 14.5% | 69.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.