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📊 Prediction Accuracy
46.2%
Within 2 Positions
2.0
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Michigan Technological University0.07+1.44vs Predicted
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2Ohio State University-1.27+2.99vs Predicted
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3Indiana University-1.27+2.04vs Predicted
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4Grand Valley State University-2.03+2.86vs Predicted
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5Purdue University-2.38+2.54vs Predicted
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6University of Notre Dame-2.01+0.69vs Predicted
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7Northern Michigan University-1.73-0.99vs Predicted
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8Michigan State University-1.11-3.44vs Predicted
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9University of Michigan-1.09-4.37vs Predicted
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10University of Puget Sound-3.21-0.59vs Predicted
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11Hope College-3.05-2.03vs Predicted
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12University of Iowa-5.43+0.37vs Predicted
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13Saginaw Valley State University-4.51-1.50vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.44Michigan Technological University0.070.4%1st Place
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4.99Ohio State University-1.270.1%1st Place
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5.04Indiana University-1.270.1%1st Place
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6.86Grand Valley State University-2.030.0%1st Place
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7.54Purdue University-2.380.0%1st Place
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6.69University of Notre Dame-2.010.0%1st Place
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6.01Northern Michigan University-1.730.1%1st Place
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4.56Michigan State University-1.110.1%1st Place
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4.63University of Michigan-1.090.1%1st Place
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9.41University of Puget Sound-3.210.0%1st Place
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8.97Hope College-3.050.0%1st Place
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12.37University of Iowa-5.430.0%1st Place
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11.5Saginaw Valley State University-4.510.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lucas Rodenroth | 37.1% | 24.7% | 16.0% | 11.1% | 5.8% | 2.8% | 1.5% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Emily Williams | 9.4% | 10.3% | 12.8% | 13.9% | 12.6% | 11.9% | 9.2% | 9.1% | 5.7% | 3.8% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Zander West | 9.1% | 11.6% | 11.9% | 11.8% | 11.1% | 12.4% | 12.5% | 10.2% | 5.6% | 2.8% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Garrett Szlachta | 3.8% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 8.7% | 8.9% | 9.8% | 10.9% | 12.0% | 14.8% | 11.0% | 6.5% | 2.3% | 0.1% |
| Mathis Destouches | 3.9% | 3.4% | 4.8% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 8.6% | 9.3% | 10.8% | 15.4% | 14.9% | 11.9% | 3.7% | 0.3% |
| Natalia Luna | 4.1% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 9.5% | 9.8% | 12.4% | 11.2% | 12.6% | 11.1% | 7.0% | 1.2% | 0.2% |
| Julia Janssen | 6.4% | 8.1% | 9.1% | 9.5% | 8.7% | 11.0% | 12.2% | 13.5% | 9.5% | 8.3% | 3.0% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| Ella Beck | 11.0% | 14.3% | 13.4% | 11.1% | 14.8% | 12.7% | 10.0% | 5.5% | 4.6% | 2.1% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| John McCalmont | 11.7% | 11.8% | 14.4% | 13.5% | 12.7% | 11.5% | 8.7% | 7.8% | 5.0% | 2.0% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Max McCumber | 1.3% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 3.6% | 3.2% | 4.6% | 7.7% | 9.4% | 17.1% | 29.1% | 14.5% | 3.0% |
| Kent Colbrunn | 1.5% | 2.1% | 1.3% | 3.6% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 6.5% | 8.5% | 12.4% | 18.4% | 22.2% | 11.8% | 1.8% |
| Zachary Warren | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.4% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 1.3% | 3.0% | 4.3% | 20.2% | 68.4% |
| Piper Luke | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 1.5% | 2.2% | 3.4% | 5.5% | 12.7% | 45.3% | 26.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.