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📊 Prediction Accuracy
76.9%
Within 2 Positions
1.8
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Michigan Technological University0.07+1.44vs Predicted
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2Grand Valley State University-2.03+4.87vs Predicted
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3University of Michigan-1.09+1.60vs Predicted
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4Ohio State University-1.27+0.98vs Predicted
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5Indiana University-1.27-0.12vs Predicted
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6Purdue University-2.38+1.58vs Predicted
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7University of Notre Dame-2.01-0.36vs Predicted
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8Michigan State University-1.11-3.42vs Predicted
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9Hope College-3.05+0.05vs Predicted
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10University of Puget Sound-3.21-0.65vs Predicted
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11University of Iowa-5.43+1.36vs Predicted
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12Northern Michigan University-1.73-5.84vs Predicted
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13Saginaw Valley State University-4.51-1.48vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.44Michigan Technological University0.070.4%1st Place
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6.87Grand Valley State University-2.030.0%1st Place
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4.6University of Michigan-1.090.1%1st Place
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4.98Ohio State University-1.270.1%1st Place
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4.88Indiana University-1.270.1%1st Place
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7.58Purdue University-2.380.0%1st Place
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6.64University of Notre Dame-2.010.1%1st Place
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4.58Michigan State University-1.110.1%1st Place
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9.05Hope College-3.050.0%1st Place
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9.35University of Puget Sound-3.210.0%1st Place
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12.36University of Iowa-5.430.0%1st Place
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6.16Northern Michigan University-1.730.1%1st Place
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11.52Saginaw Valley State University-4.510.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lucas Rodenroth | 36.5% | 25.5% | 15.4% | 11.4% | 5.7% | 3.4% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Garrett Szlachta | 4.0% | 5.1% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 8.5% | 9.4% | 13.4% | 13.3% | 12.8% | 10.8% | 7.7% | 1.3% | 0.2% |
| John McCalmont | 10.1% | 13.0% | 15.5% | 11.8% | 14.1% | 12.7% | 9.7% | 6.0% | 4.7% | 1.5% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Emily Williams | 9.1% | 10.6% | 12.9% | 13.7% | 12.5% | 11.3% | 10.3% | 9.8% | 6.2% | 2.2% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Zander West | 10.9% | 11.3% | 12.4% | 12.4% | 12.0% | 10.6% | 13.3% | 7.6% | 5.9% | 2.7% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Mathis Destouches | 2.5% | 5.0% | 3.6% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 8.4% | 10.9% | 11.6% | 14.7% | 14.9% | 11.5% | 3.9% | 0.2% |
| Natalia Luna | 5.6% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 8.1% | 8.6% | 10.2% | 11.6% | 12.8% | 12.7% | 11.4% | 5.2% | 1.8% | 0.1% |
| Ella Beck | 12.7% | 11.3% | 13.6% | 12.9% | 12.9% | 14.8% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 5.0% | 1.3% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Kent Colbrunn | 1.1% | 2.7% | 3.1% | 3.0% | 4.7% | 2.8% | 4.8% | 8.0% | 12.0% | 18.6% | 26.4% | 11.2% | 1.6% |
| Max McCumber | 1.3% | 2.0% | 2.8% | 2.3% | 2.9% | 4.4% | 4.4% | 6.5% | 10.4% | 20.0% | 24.3% | 15.9% | 2.8% |
| Zachary Warren | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 1.3% | 2.6% | 5.9% | 21.9% | 66.1% |
| Julia Janssen | 5.5% | 7.1% | 7.7% | 9.9% | 10.7% | 11.1% | 11.6% | 12.9% | 11.5% | 8.0% | 2.9% | 1.0% | 0.1% |
| Piper Luke | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.9% | 1.3% | 2.5% | 2.7% | 6.0% | 13.0% | 42.2% | 28.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.