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📊 Prediction Accuracy
66.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.7
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Michigan Technological University0.07+1.50vs Predicted
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2Michigan State University-1.11+2.71vs Predicted
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3Ohio State University-1.27+2.05vs Predicted
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4Grand Valley State University-1.45+1.52vs Predicted
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5Indiana University-1.27+0.16vs Predicted
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6Northern Michigan University-1.73+0.23vs Predicted
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7University of Puget Sound-3.21+2.25vs Predicted
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8University of Notre Dame-2.01-1.23vs Predicted
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9Purdue University-2.38-1.35vs Predicted
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10University of Michigan-1.09-5.33vs Predicted
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11Hope College-3.05-1.75vs Predicted
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12Saginaw Valley State University-4.51-0.77vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.5Michigan Technological University0.070.3%1st Place
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4.71Michigan State University-1.110.1%1st Place
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5.05Ohio State University-1.270.1%1st Place
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5.52Grand Valley State University-1.450.1%1st Place
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5.16Indiana University-1.270.1%1st Place
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6.23Northern Michigan University-1.730.1%1st Place
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9.25University of Puget Sound-3.210.0%1st Place
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6.77University of Notre Dame-2.010.1%1st Place
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7.65Purdue University-2.380.0%1st Place
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4.67University of Michigan-1.090.1%1st Place
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9.25Hope College-3.050.0%1st Place
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11.23Saginaw Valley State University-4.510.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lucas Rodenroth | 34.8% | 26.4% | 16.4% | 10.2% | 5.8% | 3.7% | 1.3% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Ella Beck | 10.2% | 12.5% | 13.8% | 14.3% | 12.7% | 9.7% | 10.6% | 8.4% | 4.3% | 2.7% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Emily Williams | 9.7% | 10.7% | 11.9% | 11.0% | 12.2% | 12.8% | 11.4% | 10.1% | 6.5% | 3.1% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Reid Kwiatkowski | 6.7% | 9.6% | 10.1% | 12.6% | 10.5% | 12.3% | 11.9% | 9.6% | 9.4% | 6.0% | 1.0% | 0.3% |
| Zander West | 9.8% | 9.3% | 11.1% | 12.9% | 13.4% | 11.8% | 9.8% | 8.9% | 6.9% | 4.0% | 2.0% | 0.1% |
| Julia Janssen | 5.8% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 8.2% | 9.9% | 10.0% | 13.6% | 11.7% | 12.8% | 8.9% | 3.7% | 0.3% |
| Max McCumber | 1.6% | 2.1% | 2.3% | 1.6% | 3.4% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 7.3% | 10.1% | 18.9% | 30.6% | 12.7% |
| Natalia Luna | 5.1% | 5.1% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 8.0% | 10.2% | 11.5% | 11.8% | 14.5% | 11.8% | 6.9% | 0.9% |
| Mathis Destouches | 3.0% | 2.1% | 4.7% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 8.3% | 9.7% | 12.6% | 16.0% | 16.3% | 12.4% | 1.9% |
| John McCalmont | 11.1% | 12.8% | 12.8% | 13.3% | 13.4% | 11.1% | 10.0% | 7.8% | 5.1% | 1.8% | 0.6% | 0.2% |
| Kent Colbrunn | 1.9% | 1.5% | 1.9% | 1.9% | 3.2% | 4.1% | 4.5% | 8.1% | 11.6% | 20.9% | 28.4% | 12.0% |
| Piper Luke | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.7% | 1.3% | 1.0% | 3.0% | 2.5% | 5.3% | 13.0% | 71.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.