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📊 Prediction Accuracy

66.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.7
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
Lucas Rodenroth 35.1% 26.0% 15.6% 11.5% 5.6% 3.3% 1.7% 0.4% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
Zander West 7.9% 11.6% 13.1% 12.3% 12.7% 10.3% 10.9% 10.5% 6.0% 3.3% 1.4% 0.0%
Emily Williams 9.6% 10.4% 11.8% 12.3% 11.5% 12.9% 10.8% 10.0% 6.6% 3.4% 0.6% 0.1%
Reid Kwiatkowski 6.3% 10.4% 10.1% 12.1% 11.0% 12.8% 10.0% 10.8% 9.6% 5.1% 1.4% 0.4%
Ella Beck 11.4% 11.2% 13.4% 13.2% 11.6% 11.6% 10.2% 7.6% 5.8% 3.2% 0.8% 0.0%
Julia Janssen 5.9% 7.0% 8.4% 6.9% 10.1% 11.0% 12.9% 12.9% 12.1% 8.9% 3.7% 0.2%
Mathis Destouches 3.9% 3.7% 4.2% 5.3% 7.0% 7.1% 9.6% 10.2% 17.0% 17.6% 11.2% 3.2%
Max McCumber 1.3% 1.6% 2.1% 3.3% 3.7% 2.8% 5.0% 7.2% 9.1% 18.6% 31.2% 14.1%
Natalia Luna 4.4% 4.1% 6.7% 7.0% 9.7% 11.2% 12.7% 13.1% 14.0% 10.6% 5.8% 0.7%
John McCalmont 11.8% 12.3% 12.2% 14.0% 13.5% 11.2% 10.0% 7.4% 4.9% 2.2% 0.4% 0.1%
Kent Colbrunn 2.1% 1.3% 1.8% 1.9% 2.8% 4.3% 4.9% 7.8% 11.7% 21.1% 29.2% 11.1%
Piper Luke 0.3% 0.4% 0.6% 0.2% 0.8% 1.5% 1.3% 2.1% 2.5% 5.9% 14.3% 70.1%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.