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📊 Prediction Accuracy
66.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.7
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Michigan Technological University0.07+1.50vs Predicted
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2Indiana University-1.27+3.08vs Predicted
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3Ohio State University-1.27+2.07vs Predicted
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4Grand Valley State University-1.45+1.52vs Predicted
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5Michigan State University-1.11-0.20vs Predicted
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6Northern Michigan University-1.73+0.24vs Predicted
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7Purdue University-2.38+0.62vs Predicted
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8University of Puget Sound-3.21+1.32vs Predicted
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9University of Notre Dame-2.01-2.26vs Predicted
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10University of Michigan-1.09-5.35vs Predicted
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11Hope College-3.05-1.75vs Predicted
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12Saginaw Valley State University-4.51-0.77vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.5Michigan Technological University0.070.4%1st Place
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5.08Indiana University-1.270.1%1st Place
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5.07Ohio State University-1.270.1%1st Place
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5.52Grand Valley State University-1.450.1%1st Place
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4.8Michigan State University-1.110.1%1st Place
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6.24Northern Michigan University-1.730.1%1st Place
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7.62Purdue University-2.380.0%1st Place
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9.32University of Puget Sound-3.210.0%1st Place
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6.74University of Notre Dame-2.010.0%1st Place
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4.65University of Michigan-1.090.1%1st Place
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9.25Hope College-3.050.0%1st Place
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11.23Saginaw Valley State University-4.510.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lucas Rodenroth | 35.1% | 26.0% | 15.6% | 11.5% | 5.6% | 3.3% | 1.7% | 0.4% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Zander West | 7.9% | 11.6% | 13.1% | 12.3% | 12.7% | 10.3% | 10.9% | 10.5% | 6.0% | 3.3% | 1.4% | 0.0% |
| Emily Williams | 9.6% | 10.4% | 11.8% | 12.3% | 11.5% | 12.9% | 10.8% | 10.0% | 6.6% | 3.4% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| Reid Kwiatkowski | 6.3% | 10.4% | 10.1% | 12.1% | 11.0% | 12.8% | 10.0% | 10.8% | 9.6% | 5.1% | 1.4% | 0.4% |
| Ella Beck | 11.4% | 11.2% | 13.4% | 13.2% | 11.6% | 11.6% | 10.2% | 7.6% | 5.8% | 3.2% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
| Julia Janssen | 5.9% | 7.0% | 8.4% | 6.9% | 10.1% | 11.0% | 12.9% | 12.9% | 12.1% | 8.9% | 3.7% | 0.2% |
| Mathis Destouches | 3.9% | 3.7% | 4.2% | 5.3% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 9.6% | 10.2% | 17.0% | 17.6% | 11.2% | 3.2% |
| Max McCumber | 1.3% | 1.6% | 2.1% | 3.3% | 3.7% | 2.8% | 5.0% | 7.2% | 9.1% | 18.6% | 31.2% | 14.1% |
| Natalia Luna | 4.4% | 4.1% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 9.7% | 11.2% | 12.7% | 13.1% | 14.0% | 10.6% | 5.8% | 0.7% |
| John McCalmont | 11.8% | 12.3% | 12.2% | 14.0% | 13.5% | 11.2% | 10.0% | 7.4% | 4.9% | 2.2% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Kent Colbrunn | 2.1% | 1.3% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 2.8% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 7.8% | 11.7% | 21.1% | 29.2% | 11.1% |
| Piper Luke | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.8% | 1.5% | 1.3% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 5.9% | 14.3% | 70.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.