Race 3A

george-morris

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

80.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.5
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
Nathan Selian 13.1% 13.5% 13.1% 13.9% 14.4% 11.8% 9.3% 6.7% 3.5% 0.7%
Adrian Winkelman 15.6% 13.2% 13.6% 14.0% 11.9% 11.8% 8.9% 6.8% 3.2% 0.9%
William Bailey 14.8% 14.6% 13.7% 13.4% 13.2% 10.3% 9.4% 6.8% 2.8% 1.1%
Connor Macken 20.0% 18.9% 17.2% 14.6% 11.8% 8.2% 5.7% 2.9% 0.5% 0.2%
Matias Martin 10.4% 10.1% 11.4% 13.0% 13.5% 13.6% 13.1% 8.4% 5.1% 1.6%
Jake Weinstein 13.1% 13.9% 15.6% 13.7% 11.8% 12.4% 10.2% 5.5% 2.9% 1.0%
William Roberts 2.8% 3.5% 3.0% 3.4% 5.6% 8.1% 9.2% 15.4% 25.2% 23.8%
Grace Bray 5.5% 6.6% 6.2% 7.1% 8.8% 11.9% 14.6% 18.2% 12.9% 8.2%
Patrick York 2.9% 4.0% 4.2% 4.0% 5.0% 7.3% 12.3% 18.6% 22.7% 19.1%
Tyler Winowiecki 1.8% 1.9% 2.1% 3.0% 4.0% 4.5% 7.1% 10.8% 21.2% 43.5%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.