Race 3B

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

38.5%
Within 2 Positions
2.0
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
Rachael Silverstein 13.4% 17.4% 17.9% 16.7% 13.1% 8.7% 5.7% 3.8% 2.2% 0.8% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
Nicholas Voss 46.4% 27.8% 13.1% 6.8% 3.1% 1.9% 0.6% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Ian Nora 2.3% 3.7% 4.1% 7.3% 8.1% 9.9% 10.7% 12.5% 13.5% 13.0% 9.0% 4.4% 1.5%
Cole Barney 2.6% 3.5% 5.4% 5.4% 8.6% 10.2% 10.2% 11.7% 14.1% 11.8% 10.0% 5.8% 0.7%
Drew Lisicki 7.1% 10.7% 13.1% 12.4% 11.7% 13.0% 10.4% 9.9% 6.1% 3.6% 1.4% 0.5% 0.1%
Jasper Curry 8.7% 10.9% 14.1% 14.8% 11.9% 11.7% 10.1% 8.1% 5.3% 3.4% 0.8% 0.2% 0.0%
Elizabeth Chambers 9.6% 12.2% 13.7% 12.4% 16.3% 10.2% 10.3% 7.9% 4.0% 2.1% 1.2% 0.1% 0.0%
Duncan MacLeod 0.9% 1.0% 2.1% 1.8% 3.5% 3.1% 3.8% 6.1% 7.4% 10.7% 18.1% 25.0% 16.5%
Andrew Battigaglia 3.6% 5.6% 7.4% 9.9% 9.0% 10.6% 12.6% 12.8% 11.3% 9.1% 5.7% 1.7% 0.7%
Lucas Kindervater 3.0% 4.3% 4.7% 4.9% 7.6% 9.4% 11.9% 10.8% 12.6% 14.6% 8.5% 5.2% 2.5%
Wesley Wallace 1.4% 1.6% 3.0% 4.5% 4.5% 7.2% 7.3% 8.2% 13.6% 16.0% 14.4% 13.0% 5.3%
Eduardo Leal 0.7% 0.6% 0.8% 2.2% 1.4% 2.3% 3.7% 5.0% 6.2% 8.0% 16.3% 23.7% 29.1%
Patrick Oglesby 0.3% 0.7% 0.6% 0.9% 1.2% 1.8% 2.7% 2.9% 3.7% 6.9% 14.3% 20.4% 43.6%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.