← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.0
Avg Position Diff
5
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1University of Wisconsin0.86+1.04vs Predicted
-
2Northwestern University0.12+0.84vs Predicted
-
3Purdue University-0.50+0.55vs Predicted
-
4University of Michigan0.10-1.15vs Predicted
-
5Marquette University-0.63-1.29vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
2.04University of Wisconsin0.860.4%1st Place
-
2.84Northwestern University0.120.2%1st Place
-
3.55Purdue University-0.500.1%1st Place
-
2.85University of Michigan0.100.2%1st Place
-
3.71Marquette University-0.630.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mary Castellini | 43.1% | 25.9% | 18.5% | 8.5% | 4.0% |
| Grace Bray | 18.4% | 24.6% | 23.8% | 20.9% | 12.3% |
| Nok In Chan | 10.7% | 13.1% | 18.3% | 25.8% | 32.1% |
| Luciana Solorzano | 18.3% | 23.9% | 25.1% | 19.8% | 12.9% |
| Jenna Kozal | 9.5% | 12.5% | 14.3% | 25.0% | 38.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.