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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
0.7
Avg Position Diff
5
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Northwestern University0.12+1.61vs Predicted
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2University of Wisconsin0.86-0.17vs Predicted
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3Purdue University-0.50+0.26vs Predicted
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4Marquette University-0.63-0.53vs Predicted
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5University of Michigan-0.95-1.17vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.61Northwestern University0.120.2%1st Place
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1.83University of Wisconsin0.860.5%1st Place
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3.26Purdue University-0.500.1%1st Place
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3.47Marquette University-0.630.1%1st Place
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3.83University of Michigan-0.950.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Grace Bray | 23.4% | 27.3% | 23.4% | 16.5% | 9.4% |
| Mary Castellini | 48.4% | 28.6% | 15.9% | 6.2% | 0.9% |
| Nok In Chan | 12.2% | 17.6% | 23.0% | 26.2% | 21.0% |
| Jenna Kozal | 9.1% | 14.8% | 22.8% | 26.2% | 27.1% |
| Rachel Ward | 6.9% | 11.7% | 14.9% | 24.9% | 41.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.