Race 4A

george-morris

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

50.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.9
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
Matias Martin 11.5% 11.5% 12.2% 11.9% 12.4% 11.9% 12.0% 9.9% 5.2% 1.5%
Connor Macken 21.4% 18.6% 15.8% 12.8% 10.3% 10.3% 6.5% 2.9% 1.1% 0.2%
Adrian Winkelman 13.3% 14.1% 14.1% 13.4% 12.8% 11.3% 9.7% 7.2% 3.3% 0.7%
William Bailey 13.8% 13.0% 15.7% 13.8% 13.6% 11.2% 9.7% 5.6% 2.8% 0.8%
Jake Weinstein 12.8% 14.0% 14.2% 14.2% 13.8% 11.2% 9.7% 6.2% 3.1% 0.8%
Tyler Winowiecki 1.7% 2.5% 2.6% 3.0% 3.8% 6.6% 7.7% 12.0% 19.4% 40.6%
Patrick York 2.6% 3.2% 4.3% 4.5% 5.1% 8.1% 10.6% 15.7% 23.7% 22.2%
Nathan Selian 13.5% 12.7% 11.6% 14.1% 13.7% 13.0% 10.1% 7.1% 3.6% 0.7%
Grace Bray 6.2% 6.7% 6.2% 8.2% 8.8% 10.9% 15.0% 16.6% 13.6% 7.8%
William Roberts 3.2% 3.8% 3.2% 3.9% 5.7% 5.4% 9.0% 16.8% 24.2% 24.9%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.