Race 5A

george-morris

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

50.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.1
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
Luke Hosek 11.1% 11.5% 13.5% 12.7% 12.2% 13.7% 12.7% 7.4% 4.3% 1.1%
Matias Martin 10.7% 10.8% 11.9% 12.7% 12.3% 12.9% 11.9% 10.3% 5.0% 1.4%
Nathan Selian 14.0% 15.7% 13.2% 14.1% 13.6% 11.2% 9.0% 5.6% 2.9% 0.8%
Adrian Winkelman 12.2% 13.7% 14.0% 13.1% 14.2% 12.5% 8.8% 7.1% 3.2% 1.3%
Laura Hamilton 24.9% 19.3% 16.4% 13.9% 10.5% 7.4% 4.8% 1.9% 0.9% 0.0%
Tyler Winowiecki 1.8% 2.0% 2.6% 3.6% 3.4% 5.9% 8.2% 11.6% 21.1% 40.0%
Patrick York 3.5% 3.6% 4.0% 5.9% 5.8% 6.9% 10.1% 15.7% 22.4% 22.1%
Grace Bray 6.5% 6.9% 7.2% 7.5% 8.8% 11.2% 14.1% 16.2% 14.3% 7.3%
Jake Weinstein 13.0% 13.8% 14.0% 12.6% 14.2% 11.2% 10.2% 7.4% 2.9% 0.9%
William Roberts 2.7% 2.8% 3.4% 4.0% 5.0% 7.2% 10.3% 16.7% 22.9% 25.1%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.