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📊 Prediction Accuracy
31.2%
Within 2 Positions
3.0
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Tufts University2.23+5.74vs Predicted
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2Tulane University2.37+4.32vs Predicted
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3College of Charleston2.35+3.42vs Predicted
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4Roger Williams University2.40+2.43vs Predicted
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5Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.36+1.38vs Predicted
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6Fordham University1.78+2.59vs Predicted
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7Brown University2.63-1.39vs Predicted
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8U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.44+1.63vs Predicted
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9University of Rhode Island1.15+1.76vs Predicted
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10SUNY Maritime College1.10+1.00vs Predicted
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11Yale University1.83-2.67vs Predicted
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12Old Dominion University1.93-4.01vs Predicted
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13Northeastern University2.03-5.49vs Predicted
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14Maine Maritime Academy1.02-2.88vs Predicted
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15Boston University1.25-4.41vs Predicted
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16Salve Regina University0.62-3.42vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.74Tufts University2.230.1%1st Place
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6.32Tulane University2.370.1%1st Place
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6.42College of Charleston2.350.1%1st Place
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6.43Roger Williams University2.400.1%1st Place
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6.38Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.360.1%1st Place
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8.59Fordham University1.780.0%1st Place
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5.61Brown University2.630.1%1st Place
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9.63U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.440.0%1st Place
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10.76University of Rhode Island1.150.0%1st Place
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11.0SUNY Maritime College1.100.0%1st Place
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8.33Yale University1.830.1%1st Place
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7.99Old Dominion University1.930.1%1st Place
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7.51Northeastern University2.030.1%1st Place
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11.12Maine Maritime Academy1.020.0%1st Place
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10.59Boston University1.250.0%1st Place
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12.58Salve Regina University0.620.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kurt Stuebe | 8.0% | 9.5% | 9.3% | 8.2% | 8.1% | 7.5% | 8.8% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 4.3% | 2.3% | 2.3% | 0.8% |
| Samantha Gardner | 9.9% | 10.3% | 9.7% | 9.4% | 7.5% | 8.0% | 8.4% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 4.2% | 3.0% | 2.2% | 0.8% | 1.1% |
| Benjamin Dufour | 10.0% | 9.0% | 8.5% | 9.5% | 9.0% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 8.9% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 4.5% | 2.7% | 2.2% | 1.6% | 0.3% |
| Drew Mastovsky | 8.5% | 10.4% | 9.0% | 8.3% | 9.6% | 8.9% | 7.5% | 6.8% | 8.0% | 5.0% | 6.3% | 4.2% | 3.7% | 2.3% | 1.1% | 0.4% |
| Robert Ulmer | 9.3% | 9.8% | 8.2% | 10.1% | 9.4% | 8.5% | 6.3% | 8.0% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 3.6% | 3.6% | 2.3% | 1.0% | 0.3% |
| Beckett Kumler | 4.9% | 4.1% | 6.1% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 7.7% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 8.2% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 5.0% | 3.9% |
| Mason Stang | 13.6% | 9.9% | 11.2% | 11.4% | 8.2% | 7.9% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 6.0% | 4.1% | 5.4% | 3.3% | 2.0% | 1.3% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Jack Derry | 3.5% | 5.0% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 6.6% | 5.2% | 6.6% | 7.8% | 8.1% | 9.5% | 8.1% | 9.0% | 6.6% |
| Olin Guck | 3.2% | 2.7% | 3.1% | 3.4% | 3.8% | 3.2% | 4.6% | 4.7% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 9.2% | 9.0% | 11.0% | 11.3% | 12.7% |
| Brooks Turcotte | 2.9% | 3.3% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 3.9% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 7.5% | 8.1% | 9.4% | 12.3% | 12.4% | 13.5% |
| Mathias Reimer | 6.3% | 6.1% | 4.9% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 7.9% | 7.6% | 8.3% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 4.8% | 2.2% |
| Parker Purrington | 6.5% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 7.9% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 8.2% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 4.7% | 3.8% | 2.8% |
| Eva Ermlich | 5.9% | 7.5% | 9.2% | 5.3% | 6.9% | 7.9% | 8.5% | 7.0% | 8.7% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 2.8% | 1.1% |
| Zachary York | 2.7% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 2.2% | 2.8% | 3.5% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 5.2% | 7.6% | 8.5% | 11.1% | 13.6% | 15.1% |
| Elliott Mendenhall | 3.6% | 2.4% | 3.0% | 2.9% | 3.7% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 7.3% | 6.1% | 7.2% | 10.2% | 11.1% | 13.0% | 9.5% |
| Emil Tullberg | 1.2% | 1.6% | 1.9% | 1.3% | 2.5% | 2.7% | 2.7% | 2.9% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 6.0% | 8.8% | 9.7% | 16.9% | 29.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.