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📊 Prediction Accuracy
43.8%
Within 2 Positions
3.2
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.36+5.25vs Predicted
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2Brown University2.63+3.44vs Predicted
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3University of Rhode Island1.15+7.76vs Predicted
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4Roger Williams University2.40+2.44vs Predicted
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5Old Dominion University1.93+3.08vs Predicted
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6Tulane University2.37+0.44vs Predicted
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7College of Charleston2.35-0.44vs Predicted
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8Northeastern University2.03-0.54vs Predicted
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9Boston University1.25+1.44vs Predicted
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10U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.44-0.12vs Predicted
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11Salve Regina University0.62+1.38vs Predicted
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12Maine Maritime Academy1.02-0.80vs Predicted
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13Fordham University1.78-4.52vs Predicted
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14SUNY Maritime College1.10-3.17vs Predicted
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15Yale University1.83-6.54vs Predicted
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16Tufts University2.23-9.11vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.25Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.360.1%1st Place
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5.44Brown University2.630.1%1st Place
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10.76University of Rhode Island1.150.0%1st Place
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6.44Roger Williams University2.400.1%1st Place
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8.08Old Dominion University1.930.1%1st Place
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6.44Tulane University2.370.1%1st Place
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6.56College of Charleston2.350.1%1st Place
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7.46Northeastern University2.030.1%1st Place
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10.44Boston University1.250.0%1st Place
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9.88U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.440.0%1st Place
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12.38Salve Regina University0.620.0%1st Place
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11.2Maine Maritime Academy1.020.0%1st Place
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8.48Fordham University1.780.0%1st Place
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10.83SUNY Maritime College1.100.0%1st Place
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8.46Yale University1.830.1%1st Place
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6.89Tufts University2.230.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Robert Ulmer | 10.3% | 9.4% | 10.5% | 8.7% | 9.5% | 7.7% | 8.2% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 4.2% | 3.4% | 1.8% | 1.6% | 0.5% |
| Mason Stang | 13.1% | 13.5% | 11.4% | 9.2% | 10.1% | 7.7% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 2.9% | 1.8% | 2.8% | 1.4% | 0.7% | 0.3% |
| Olin Guck | 3.3% | 2.7% | 3.0% | 4.0% | 2.8% | 3.7% | 4.0% | 4.6% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 10.8% | 10.1% | 12.8% | 12.0% |
| Drew Mastovsky | 8.6% | 10.2% | 9.4% | 10.2% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 7.6% | 8.5% | 5.4% | 6.7% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 3.8% | 2.5% | 0.9% | 0.5% |
| Parker Purrington | 6.1% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 8.9% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 7.6% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 3.4% | 2.3% |
| Samantha Gardner | 8.4% | 9.3% | 9.4% | 11.1% | 7.8% | 7.7% | 9.6% | 6.4% | 7.2% | 4.7% | 5.8% | 4.1% | 4.6% | 2.7% | 1.1% | 0.1% |
| Benjamin Dufour | 11.1% | 7.3% | 8.2% | 8.8% | 8.6% | 10.2% | 6.1% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 4.7% | 3.7% | 3.1% | 1.3% | 0.4% |
| Eva Ermlich | 6.9% | 8.3% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 7.7% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 8.1% | 6.8% | 8.8% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 3.7% | 3.6% | 1.2% |
| Elliott Mendenhall | 2.9% | 3.4% | 3.6% | 3.3% | 4.3% | 3.7% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 4.6% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 8.7% | 10.1% | 8.9% | 10.8% | 11.1% |
| Jack Derry | 4.2% | 3.4% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 3.5% | 4.4% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 9.4% | 9.9% | 9.6% | 8.6% | 9.2% | 6.3% |
| Emil Tullberg | 2.2% | 2.0% | 1.7% | 2.4% | 1.8% | 2.7% | 3.5% | 2.7% | 4.2% | 3.5% | 2.8% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 11.4% | 15.0% | 30.4% |
| Zachary York | 2.6% | 2.7% | 2.4% | 3.1% | 3.8% | 3.6% | 3.4% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 11.3% | 13.6% | 17.4% |
| Beckett Kumler | 4.7% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 8.1% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 2.7% |
| Brooks Turcotte | 2.9% | 2.5% | 3.5% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 6.4% | 7.3% | 9.2% | 11.5% | 13.9% | 11.6% |
| Mathias Reimer | 5.6% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 8.0% | 6.6% | 7.9% | 8.5% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 4.4% | 2.1% |
| Kurt Stuebe | 7.1% | 8.7% | 8.8% | 7.0% | 9.5% | 7.4% | 8.1% | 9.3% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 5.1% | 2.9% | 3.3% | 1.4% | 1.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.