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📊 Prediction Accuracy
31.2%
Within 2 Positions
3.4
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Brown University2.63+4.26vs Predicted
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2College of Charleston2.35+4.26vs Predicted
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3Roger Williams University2.40+3.16vs Predicted
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4University of Rhode Island1.15+6.70vs Predicted
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5Fordham University1.78+3.42vs Predicted
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6Tulane University2.37+0.35vs Predicted
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7Yale University1.83+1.25vs Predicted
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8Old Dominion University1.93-0.34vs Predicted
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9Salve Regina University0.62+3.18vs Predicted
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10Northeastern University2.03-2.51vs Predicted
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11SUNY Maritime College1.10-0.30vs Predicted
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12Boston University0.34+0.95vs Predicted
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13Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.36-6.80vs Predicted
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14U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.44-4.52vs Predicted
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15Tufts University2.23-8.17vs Predicted
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16Maine Maritime Academy1.02-4.89vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.26Brown University2.630.1%1st Place
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6.26College of Charleston2.350.1%1st Place
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6.16Roger Williams University2.400.1%1st Place
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10.7University of Rhode Island1.150.0%1st Place
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8.42Fordham University1.780.1%1st Place
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6.35Tulane University2.370.1%1st Place
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8.25Yale University1.830.1%1st Place
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7.66Old Dominion University1.930.1%1st Place
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12.18Salve Regina University0.620.0%1st Place
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7.49Northeastern University2.030.1%1st Place
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10.7SUNY Maritime College1.100.0%1st Place
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12.95Boston University0.340.0%1st Place
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6.2Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.360.1%1st Place
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9.48U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.440.0%1st Place
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6.83Tufts University2.230.1%1st Place
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11.11Maine Maritime Academy1.020.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mason Stang | 14.3% | 12.1% | 10.9% | 11.2% | 10.3% | 8.5% | 7.5% | 6.8% | 4.2% | 4.1% | 4.7% | 2.4% | 1.7% | 0.5% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
| Benjamin Dufour | 10.0% | 10.0% | 10.5% | 9.2% | 7.9% | 7.1% | 9.2% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 1.2% | 0.2% |
| Drew Mastovsky | 9.9% | 9.9% | 8.0% | 10.4% | 9.4% | 8.0% | 8.9% | 9.0% | 7.2% | 5.7% | 4.2% | 4.1% | 2.0% | 1.8% | 1.2% | 0.3% |
| Olin Guck | 2.2% | 3.3% | 3.4% | 3.0% | 4.3% | 4.6% | 3.5% | 5.4% | 4.6% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 7.6% | 10.4% | 12.1% | 12.5% | 10.0% |
| Beckett Kumler | 5.3% | 4.3% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 5.6% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 8.0% | 7.9% | 8.0% | 7.8% | 6.3% | 3.9% | 1.9% |
| Samantha Gardner | 8.7% | 8.9% | 11.6% | 8.8% | 9.7% | 7.3% | 8.6% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 4.8% | 4.0% | 2.0% | 0.7% | 0.4% |
| Mathias Reimer | 6.1% | 6.5% | 5.1% | 6.8% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 9.8% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 9.3% | 6.0% | 3.5% | 1.7% |
| Parker Purrington | 6.6% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 8.5% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 4.7% | 2.5% | 1.3% |
| Emil Tullberg | 2.1% | 1.9% | 2.0% | 1.7% | 1.6% | 2.7% | 2.9% | 4.0% | 2.9% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 9.4% | 11.0% | 19.5% | 21.3% |
| Eva Ermlich | 6.9% | 7.5% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 7.2% | 7.9% | 8.1% | 8.7% | 7.5% | 9.5% | 7.6% | 5.7% | 4.4% | 3.3% | 2.9% | 0.9% |
| Brooks Turcotte | 3.1% | 3.2% | 2.8% | 3.7% | 3.7% | 4.4% | 4.2% | 4.1% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 8.2% | 8.4% | 8.9% | 12.2% | 11.3% | 11.7% |
| Renato Korzinek | 1.2% | 1.1% | 2.0% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 2.1% | 2.3% | 1.8% | 3.7% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 11.3% | 15.8% | 34.2% |
| Robert Ulmer | 9.6% | 9.6% | 10.8% | 8.7% | 8.6% | 8.8% | 7.8% | 8.1% | 7.2% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 3.4% | 2.7% | 2.9% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| Jack Derry | 3.7% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 4.3% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 8.9% | 8.1% | 8.8% | 9.5% | 7.6% | 4.5% |
| Kurt Stuebe | 8.2% | 8.7% | 7.2% | 8.5% | 7.9% | 8.6% | 7.7% | 8.9% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 5.6% | 6.7% | 3.2% | 3.0% | 1.6% | 0.1% |
| Zachary York | 2.1% | 2.2% | 3.2% | 2.4% | 3.7% | 4.0% | 4.1% | 3.5% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 10.9% | 10.8% | 10.6% | 14.4% | 11.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.