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📊 Prediction Accuracy
43.8%
Within 2 Positions
3.4
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1College of Charleston2.35+5.34vs Predicted
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2Yale University1.83+6.25vs Predicted
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3Tufts University2.23+3.87vs Predicted
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4Brown University2.63+1.58vs Predicted
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5Tulane University2.37+1.38vs Predicted
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6Maine Maritime Academy1.02+5.27vs Predicted
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7Old Dominion University1.93+1.03vs Predicted
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8Roger Williams University2.40-1.88vs Predicted
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9University of Rhode Island1.15+1.75vs Predicted
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10Boston University1.25+0.55vs Predicted
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11Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.36-4.66vs Predicted
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12Northeastern University2.03-4.38vs Predicted
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13Salve Regina University0.62-0.51vs Predicted
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14SUNY Maritime College1.10-3.11vs Predicted
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15Fordham University1.78-6.37vs Predicted
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16U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.44-6.10vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.34College of Charleston2.350.1%1st Place
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8.25Yale University1.830.0%1st Place
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6.87Tufts University2.230.1%1st Place
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5.58Brown University2.630.1%1st Place
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6.38Tulane University2.370.1%1st Place
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11.27Maine Maritime Academy1.020.0%1st Place
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8.03Old Dominion University1.930.1%1st Place
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6.12Roger Williams University2.400.1%1st Place
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10.75University of Rhode Island1.150.0%1st Place
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10.55Boston University1.250.0%1st Place
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6.34Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.360.1%1st Place
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7.62Northeastern University2.030.1%1st Place
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12.49Salve Regina University0.620.0%1st Place
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10.89SUNY Maritime College1.100.0%1st Place
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8.63Fordham University1.780.1%1st Place
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9.9U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.440.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Benjamin Dufour | 9.2% | 9.8% | 9.5% | 10.6% | 7.6% | 9.0% | 7.9% | 6.4% | 7.2% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 3.6% | 4.4% | 1.7% | 1.4% | 0.6% |
| Mathias Reimer | 4.5% | 7.5% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 5.4% | 7.5% | 5.5% | 8.0% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 2.5% |
| Kurt Stuebe | 8.9% | 7.2% | 8.4% | 9.1% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 8.9% | 8.3% | 8.4% | 7.6% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 1.8% | 0.6% |
| Mason Stang | 10.9% | 13.6% | 10.0% | 10.1% | 10.9% | 9.2% | 6.8% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 4.1% | 3.4% | 1.8% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.2% |
| Samantha Gardner | 9.2% | 9.5% | 9.5% | 8.5% | 9.6% | 8.7% | 6.6% | 7.7% | 7.7% | 6.4% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 3.6% | 2.2% | 0.9% | 0.3% |
| Zachary York | 2.5% | 1.2% | 2.4% | 3.7% | 3.2% | 3.4% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 8.5% | 10.1% | 15.2% | 16.2% |
| Parker Purrington | 6.5% | 7.6% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 6.8% | 8.1% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 4.4% | 8.5% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 5.3% | 4.6% | 1.6% |
| Drew Mastovsky | 10.6% | 11.1% | 8.9% | 9.3% | 8.2% | 8.6% | 8.1% | 8.3% | 6.2% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 4.3% | 2.5% | 1.8% | 1.2% | 0.4% |
| Olin Guck | 3.0% | 2.7% | 4.1% | 2.8% | 4.1% | 3.3% | 3.6% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 7.5% | 9.7% | 10.3% | 12.8% | 12.3% |
| Elliott Mendenhall | 3.4% | 3.3% | 3.6% | 3.4% | 3.3% | 3.5% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 4.2% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 8.2% | 10.9% | 12.0% | 10.7% | 9.7% |
| Robert Ulmer | 10.6% | 8.7% | 10.4% | 8.4% | 6.7% | 8.7% | 8.7% | 8.4% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 4.6% | 2.5% | 2.3% | 1.5% | 0.2% |
| Eva Ermlich | 7.2% | 5.6% | 8.7% | 7.5% | 8.3% | 6.6% | 7.6% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 7.4% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 3.8% | 3.7% | 2.0% |
| Emil Tullberg | 1.4% | 1.5% | 1.3% | 2.3% | 1.6% | 3.6% | 2.8% | 4.0% | 3.2% | 4.1% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 7.9% | 11.6% | 13.7% | 30.6% |
| Brooks Turcotte | 3.1% | 2.3% | 3.1% | 2.2% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 7.7% | 9.1% | 10.7% | 12.6% | 13.7% |
| Beckett Kumler | 5.9% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 7.6% | 6.1% | 9.1% | 8.7% | 6.7% | 7.6% | 4.5% | 3.2% |
| Jack Derry | 3.1% | 4.0% | 3.3% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 3.9% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 10.0% | 8.4% | 7.9% | 10.1% | 9.8% | 5.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.