Race 12A

oberg

← Back to Regatta

📊 Prediction Accuracy

37.5%
Within 2 Positions
3.2
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Benjamin Dufour 9.4% 9.9% 9.8% 8.9% 8.0% 9.1% 8.4% 6.2% 6.2% 6.6% 5.7% 4.4% 3.7% 2.7% 0.5% 0.5%
Robert Ulmer 10.7% 8.9% 9.4% 10.5% 6.5% 10.0% 7.9% 6.7% 5.5% 5.3% 7.0% 4.6% 3.4% 2.1% 1.2% 0.3%
Kurt Stuebe 9.3% 7.4% 8.6% 6.8% 9.2% 8.2% 6.9% 8.5% 8.9% 5.6% 6.8% 4.3% 3.7% 3.2% 2.1% 0.5%
Parker Purrington 5.1% 5.5% 7.9% 6.7% 5.6% 7.5% 6.0% 7.0% 7.5% 7.4% 7.9% 6.3% 6.7% 7.2% 3.8% 1.9%
Drew Mastovsky 9.3% 10.1% 7.9% 10.0% 8.8% 9.0% 7.4% 8.1% 6.3% 6.5% 5.3% 4.3% 2.9% 2.6% 1.1% 0.4%
Mason Stang 11.2% 12.2% 11.9% 10.2% 10.3% 8.8% 8.2% 5.8% 4.8% 4.7% 3.1% 4.3% 2.5% 1.4% 0.4% 0.2%
Emil Tullberg 1.9% 2.0% 2.3% 2.1% 2.0% 2.6% 2.7% 2.8% 3.0% 4.3% 5.2% 4.8% 7.2% 8.9% 16.5% 31.7%
Samantha Gardner 10.6% 9.9% 9.7% 8.0% 9.8% 8.1% 7.7% 7.0% 7.4% 6.2% 4.4% 4.6% 3.3% 1.7% 1.3% 0.3%
Mathias Reimer 5.8% 5.6% 5.6% 6.4% 6.4% 6.4% 7.0% 8.0% 6.8% 8.0% 7.2% 7.7% 6.0% 5.4% 4.2% 3.5%
Olin Guck 3.0% 2.9% 3.5% 2.8% 3.9% 2.6% 4.1% 5.0% 5.1% 5.7% 6.7% 8.5% 11.1% 10.6% 12.5% 12.0%
Beckett Kumler 6.2% 5.9% 4.5% 6.7% 5.3% 6.0% 7.5% 4.9% 7.4% 7.7% 8.1% 7.2% 7.8% 7.5% 4.5% 2.8%
Elliott Mendenhall 3.4% 3.5% 2.7% 3.1% 4.4% 4.2% 5.2% 6.1% 5.8% 5.6% 5.8% 8.0% 8.6% 11.1% 12.4% 10.1%
Eva Ermlich 6.3% 6.7% 7.6% 7.6% 7.4% 6.5% 7.5% 8.0% 7.5% 7.2% 6.8% 6.7% 4.8% 5.2% 2.9% 1.3%
Brooks Turcotte 2.5% 2.9% 2.6% 3.2% 4.1% 4.2% 4.6% 5.3% 5.3% 6.0% 6.2% 7.1% 10.5% 11.1% 11.2% 13.2%
Zachary York 2.6% 2.3% 2.2% 3.1% 2.7% 2.5% 4.1% 5.0% 5.0% 5.4% 6.2% 7.9% 9.0% 11.5% 15.5% 15.0%
Jack Derry 2.7% 4.3% 3.8% 3.9% 5.6% 4.3% 4.8% 5.6% 7.5% 7.8% 7.6% 9.3% 8.8% 7.8% 9.9% 6.3%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.