Race 2A

north-points-3

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

61.5%
Within 2 Positions
2.2
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
Eliza Richartz 21.0% 17.5% 16.0% 12.1% 11.9% 8.5% 5.7% 4.1% 1.6% 1.0% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
Michael Lazzaro 7.2% 8.2% 9.4% 9.2% 10.6% 11.5% 10.8% 11.5% 8.5% 7.6% 3.3% 1.8% 0.4%
Patrick Soper 16.4% 14.4% 13.8% 13.3% 11.5% 11.0% 8.4% 4.7% 4.3% 1.4% 0.5% 0.2% 0.1%
Andrew Cowley 6.1% 7.9% 6.7% 9.0% 11.2% 7.7% 11.6% 13.1% 10.4% 8.6% 5.4% 1.7% 0.6%
Bradley Schoch 9.7% 9.7% 11.8% 9.2% 9.1% 11.3% 12.4% 10.1% 7.3% 5.9% 2.4% 0.9% 0.2%
Cody Shevitz 13.5% 11.8% 13.4% 13.1% 10.6% 11.2% 9.1% 6.8% 5.4% 3.8% 0.9% 0.4% 0.0%
Erik Lund 6.5% 4.1% 6.4% 6.9% 7.5% 8.1% 9.5% 11.6% 12.9% 11.2% 9.2% 4.5% 1.6%
Ashley Eberhard 1.7% 2.9% 2.3% 2.3% 3.3% 5.0% 3.9% 7.2% 10.7% 12.9% 17.3% 17.9% 12.6%
Janet Rumsey 1.1% 1.6% 2.1% 1.7% 2.8% 2.7% 3.4% 5.0% 6.5% 9.4% 14.8% 22.0% 26.9%
Christopher Hagerman 0.6% 1.7% 1.3% 2.4% 2.8% 1.6% 2.8% 4.8% 5.3% 10.0% 12.9% 18.5% 35.3%
Gregory Hodges 1.5% 2.2% 1.5% 3.6% 3.3% 5.0% 5.6% 6.6% 11.0% 12.6% 16.6% 17.5% 13.0%
Lauren Amery 2.1% 3.1% 2.7% 3.8% 3.7% 5.7% 6.9% 7.3% 12.3% 14.0% 14.9% 14.2% 9.3%
Samuel Harrison 12.6% 14.9% 12.6% 13.4% 11.7% 10.7% 9.9% 7.2% 3.8% 1.6% 1.3% 0.3% 0.0%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.