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📊 Prediction Accuracy
71.4%
Within 2 Positions
1.2
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Columbia University0.09+2.17vs Predicted
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2Hamilton College-0.67+2.18vs Predicted
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3SUNY Maritime College0.20-0.07vs Predicted
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4Webb Institute0.40-1.32vs Predicted
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5U. S. Merchant Marine Academy-0.37-1.26vs Predicted
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6SUNY Stony Brook-1.09-1.28vs Predicted
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7U. S. Military Academy-2.94-0.42vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.17Columbia University0.0919.7%1st Place
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4.18Hamilton College-0.679.8%1st Place
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2.93SUNY Maritime College0.2021.9%1st Place
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2.68Webb Institute0.4027.6%1st Place
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3.74U. S. Merchant Marine Academy-0.3713.1%1st Place
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4.72SUNY Stony Brook-1.097.2%1st Place
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6.58U. S. Military Academy-2.940.8%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alexander Sau Hang Ching | 19.7% | 18.5% | 20.0% | 18.9% | 14.1% | 8.1% | 0.9% |
| Teddy Jiganti | 9.8% | 11.5% | 13.0% | 16.1% | 21.3% | 23.5% | 4.9% |
| Andrew Embry | 21.9% | 23.4% | 19.5% | 16.8% | 12.4% | 5.2% | 0.8% |
| Aidan Woods | 27.6% | 23.2% | 21.1% | 14.7% | 9.6% | 3.5% | 0.4% |
| Carson Totino | 13.1% | 15.2% | 14.8% | 18.4% | 20.5% | 16.0% | 1.9% |
| Mahmodol Mojumder | 7.2% | 6.9% | 10.2% | 12.3% | 18.3% | 35.9% | 9.2% |
| Sophie Fernandez | 0.8% | 1.4% | 1.6% | 2.8% | 3.7% | 7.8% | 81.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.