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📊 Prediction Accuracy
27.8%
Within 2 Positions
3.6
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Georgetown University1.86+8.13vs Predicted
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2Stanford University2.19+3.44vs Predicted
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3Yale University2.42+1.05vs Predicted
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4Tulane University1.73+4.92vs Predicted
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5University of South Florida0.99+6.78vs Predicted
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6Harvard University2.17+1.04vs Predicted
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7Boston College1.36+2.85vs Predicted
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8George Washington University1.07+4.06vs Predicted
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9Bowdoin College1.84-0.85vs Predicted
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10Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.63-1.64vs Predicted
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11Dartmouth College1.45-1.02vs Predicted
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12Cornell University1.79-3.78vs Predicted
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13College of Charleston1.26-3.13vs Predicted
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14Brown University1.85-4.69vs Predicted
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15Northeastern University1.18-3.74vs Predicted
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16University of Pennsylvania1.16-4.06vs Predicted
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17Roger Williams University0.49-3.16vs Predicted
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18Tufts University1.01-6.19vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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9.13Georgetown University1.865.3%1st Place
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5.44Stanford University2.1911.7%1st Place
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4.05Yale University2.4221.3%1st Place
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8.92Tulane University1.735.2%1st Place
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11.78University of South Florida0.992.9%1st Place
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7.04Harvard University2.177.0%1st Place
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9.85Boston College1.364.5%1st Place
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12.06George Washington University1.072.4%1st Place
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8.15Bowdoin College1.845.7%1st Place
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8.36Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.636.2%1st Place
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9.98Dartmouth College1.454.0%1st Place
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8.22Cornell University1.795.9%1st Place
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9.87College of Charleston1.264.1%1st Place
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9.31Brown University1.855.0%1st Place
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11.26Northeastern University1.182.8%1st Place
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11.94University of Pennsylvania1.162.9%1st Place
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13.84Roger Williams University0.491.1%1st Place
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11.81Tufts University1.012.3%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kelly Bates | 5.3% | 4.5% | 6.0% | 4.6% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 7.4% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 4.8% | 4.0% | 1.5% |
| Sophie Fisher | 11.7% | 11.8% | 12.2% | 11.2% | 9.2% | 10.2% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 3.1% | 2.5% | 2.4% | 1.1% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Carmen Cowles | 21.3% | 17.1% | 13.7% | 11.2% | 9.8% | 8.0% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 3.0% | 2.5% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ava Anderson | 5.2% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 3.9% | 3.4% | 1.7% |
| Kalea Woodard | 2.9% | 2.8% | 3.1% | 3.9% | 3.1% | 3.1% | 3.7% | 3.9% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 8.2% | 7.2% | 8.6% | 10.8% | 11.5% |
| Zoey Ziskind | 7.0% | 8.5% | 8.2% | 9.4% | 8.1% | 7.7% | 7.8% | 8.2% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 4.2% | 2.9% | 2.5% | 1.2% | 0.8% | 0.2% |
| Sara Schumann | 4.5% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 4.8% | 3.8% |
| Arrieta Angueira Salbidegoitia | 2.4% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 2.6% | 3.3% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 3.6% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 8.1% | 9.8% | 10.2% | 13.4% |
| Lauren Russler | 5.7% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 4.5% | 3.9% | 3.5% | 2.1% | 0.7% |
| Lucy Brock | 6.2% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 8.6% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 4.6% | 4.2% | 3.4% | 2.9% | 0.9% |
| Olivia Drulard | 4.0% | 4.7% | 4.0% | 5.3% | 4.3% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 3.3% |
| Sophia Devling | 5.9% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 8.1% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 3.4% | 3.6% | 2.1% | 1.2% |
| Emily Alfortish | 4.1% | 3.5% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 3.0% |
| Laura Hamilton | 5.0% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 5.0% | 4.3% | 2.1% |
| Lucia Loosbrock | 2.8% | 3.6% | 3.4% | 2.7% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 3.3% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 7.6% | 7.2% | 8.4% | 9.0% | 8.0% | 7.3% |
| Adra Ivancich | 2.9% | 3.0% | 2.5% | 3.1% | 3.4% | 3.2% | 3.2% | 3.6% | 4.3% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 7.8% | 8.1% | 9.7% | 11.0% | 11.5% |
| Katherine McGagh | 1.1% | 1.6% | 1.7% | 1.5% | 2.2% | 2.9% | 2.8% | 2.2% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 6.9% | 8.3% | 8.7% | 13.5% | 28.0% |
| Sophia Hubbard | 2.3% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 8.7% | 10.7% | 10.1% | 9.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.