Race 6A

george-morris

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

40.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.5
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
Jake Weinstein 12.8% 13.1% 13.7% 13.6% 14.4% 11.6% 10.2% 6.9% 3.1% 0.8%
Matias Martin 10.5% 11.6% 11.5% 13.0% 13.3% 12.2% 13.2% 8.8% 4.8% 1.1%
Tyler Winowiecki 2.0% 1.9% 1.8% 3.4% 4.0% 4.4% 7.2% 11.9% 20.1% 43.3%
Luke Hosek 11.7% 12.6% 11.8% 12.4% 12.2% 13.7% 11.0% 8.8% 4.5% 1.4%
Adrian Winkelman 13.8% 14.2% 14.6% 13.7% 11.7% 11.4% 9.6% 6.8% 3.5% 0.8%
Nathan Selian 13.9% 12.2% 14.6% 13.5% 12.7% 11.6% 10.4% 7.4% 3.1% 0.6%
Patrick York 3.3% 2.7% 3.8% 5.9% 5.9% 8.2% 9.4% 15.7% 23.2% 22.0%
Laura Hamilton 24.5% 21.3% 17.0% 12.4% 10.2% 7.8% 4.0% 1.5% 1.1% 0.1%
Grace Bray 5.1% 7.0% 6.8% 7.3% 10.1% 12.5% 14.4% 17.0% 13.5% 6.3%
William Roberts 2.5% 3.2% 4.3% 4.8% 5.8% 6.7% 10.5% 15.4% 23.2% 23.6%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.