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📊 Prediction Accuracy
37.5%
Within 2 Positions
3.3
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Brown University2.63+4.34vs Predicted
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2Tulane University2.50+3.80vs Predicted
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3Yale University1.83+5.18vs Predicted
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4Tufts University2.23+2.89vs Predicted
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5Maine Maritime Academy1.02+6.10vs Predicted
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6College of Charleston2.35+0.46vs Predicted
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7Northeastern University2.03+0.56vs Predicted
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8U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.44+1.45vs Predicted
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9University of Rhode Island1.15+1.51vs Predicted
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10Roger Williams University2.40-3.81vs Predicted
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11Fordham University1.78-2.63vs Predicted
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12Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.36-5.68vs Predicted
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13Salve Regina University0.62-0.78vs Predicted
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14SUNY Maritime College1.10-3.35vs Predicted
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15Boston University0.34-1.92vs Predicted
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16Old Dominion University1.93-8.12vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.34Brown University2.630.1%1st Place
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5.8Tulane University2.500.1%1st Place
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8.18Yale University1.830.1%1st Place
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6.89Tufts University2.230.1%1st Place
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11.1Maine Maritime Academy1.020.0%1st Place
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6.46College of Charleston2.350.1%1st Place
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7.56Northeastern University2.030.1%1st Place
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9.45U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.440.0%1st Place
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10.51University of Rhode Island1.150.0%1st Place
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6.19Roger Williams University2.400.1%1st Place
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8.37Fordham University1.780.1%1st Place
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6.32Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.360.1%1st Place
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12.22Salve Regina University0.620.0%1st Place
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10.65SUNY Maritime College1.100.0%1st Place
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13.08Boston University0.340.0%1st Place
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7.88Old Dominion University1.930.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mason Stang | 12.5% | 13.0% | 12.0% | 10.4% | 10.0% | 8.7% | 7.9% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 4.6% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 1.0% | 1.2% | 0.3% | 0.2% |
| Thad Lettsome | 11.7% | 12.3% | 10.2% | 8.6% | 9.2% | 8.8% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 4.5% | 6.6% | 2.8% | 1.6% | 1.7% | 1.2% | 0.0% |
| Mathias Reimer | 6.0% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 8.9% | 8.3% | 7.8% | 8.3% | 6.9% | 4.4% | 3.6% | 2.1% |
| Kurt Stuebe | 8.1% | 8.4% | 8.2% | 8.1% | 7.4% | 8.9% | 7.0% | 8.8% | 7.6% | 6.9% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 2.9% | 1.3% | 0.8% |
| Zachary York | 1.8% | 3.2% | 2.6% | 2.4% | 3.1% | 3.6% | 4.8% | 4.6% | 4.0% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 6.8% | 11.5% | 12.1% | 13.5% | 11.8% |
| Benjamin Dufour | 8.2% | 9.1% | 10.2% | 9.6% | 8.0% | 9.2% | 8.4% | 7.3% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 3.7% | 2.6% | 1.4% | 0.2% |
| Eva Ermlich | 7.2% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 5.5% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 7.8% | 7.7% | 7.8% | 7.7% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 2.5% | 1.0% |
| Jack Derry | 3.5% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 3.7% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 7.4% | 7.9% | 8.1% | 9.1% | 8.9% | 9.2% | 3.9% |
| Olin Guck | 2.7% | 3.1% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 2.9% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 9.5% | 9.1% | 10.9% | 12.4% | 8.7% |
| Drew Mastovsky | 9.3% | 8.4% | 8.7% | 10.3% | 9.8% | 9.9% | 9.1% | 7.5% | 8.5% | 5.0% | 3.4% | 5.2% | 2.3% | 1.8% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
| Beckett Kumler | 6.7% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 5.7% | 8.4% | 8.5% | 7.1% | 9.1% | 5.8% | 4.6% | 1.6% |
| Robert Ulmer | 10.1% | 9.8% | 9.5% | 9.8% | 8.2% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 5.6% | 3.7% | 4.4% | 1.9% | 0.9% | 0.2% |
| Emil Tullberg | 1.3% | 1.6% | 1.6% | 2.3% | 3.4% | 2.4% | 2.4% | 3.7% | 3.6% | 4.8% | 4.6% | 7.0% | 9.2% | 13.6% | 15.1% | 23.4% |
| Brooks Turcotte | 3.5% | 1.9% | 2.6% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 5.4% | 4.4% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 8.3% | 8.6% | 8.4% | 12.3% | 11.7% | 9.7% |
| Renato Korzinek | 1.6% | 1.6% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 2.7% | 1.6% | 1.5% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 3.9% | 5.6% | 7.4% | 10.0% | 17.7% | 35.6% |
| Parker Purrington | 5.8% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 6.1% | 7.6% | 8.2% | 7.4% | 8.0% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 3.8% | 0.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.