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📊 Prediction Accuracy
37.5%
Within 2 Positions
2.9
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Brown University2.63+4.31vs Predicted
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2Tulane University2.50+3.81vs Predicted
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3Tufts University2.23+3.78vs Predicted
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4University of Rhode Island1.15+6.72vs Predicted
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5College of Charleston2.35+1.35vs Predicted
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6Roger Williams University2.40+0.27vs Predicted
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7Yale University1.83+1.29vs Predicted
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8Fordham University1.78+0.25vs Predicted
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9Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.36-2.79vs Predicted
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10U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.44-0.33vs Predicted
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11Salve Regina University0.62+1.18vs Predicted
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12Northeastern University2.03-4.50vs Predicted
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13Old Dominion University1.93-5.23vs Predicted
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14SUNY Maritime College1.10-3.37vs Predicted
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15Maine Maritime Academy1.02-3.85vs Predicted
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16Boston University0.34-2.89vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.31Brown University2.630.1%1st Place
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5.81Tulane University2.500.1%1st Place
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6.78Tufts University2.230.1%1st Place
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10.72University of Rhode Island1.150.0%1st Place
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6.35College of Charleston2.350.1%1st Place
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6.27Roger Williams University2.400.1%1st Place
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8.29Yale University1.830.1%1st Place
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8.25Fordham University1.780.1%1st Place
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6.21Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.360.1%1st Place
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9.67U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.440.0%1st Place
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12.18Salve Regina University0.620.0%1st Place
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7.5Northeastern University2.030.1%1st Place
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7.77Old Dominion University1.930.1%1st Place
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10.63SUNY Maritime College1.100.0%1st Place
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11.15Maine Maritime Academy1.020.0%1st Place
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13.11Boston University0.340.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mason Stang | 13.8% | 11.9% | 11.1% | 11.6% | 9.7% | 8.4% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 4.4% | 2.3% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.2% |
| Thad Lettsome | 12.0% | 11.5% | 10.3% | 9.8% | 8.0% | 7.9% | 8.0% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 5.4% | 4.8% | 3.0% | 2.6% | 1.4% | 0.8% | 0.1% |
| Kurt Stuebe | 8.5% | 8.3% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 8.8% | 9.4% | 8.1% | 8.3% | 7.7% | 7.8% | 5.6% | 4.9% | 3.6% | 2.4% | 1.7% | 0.3% |
| Olin Guck | 2.1% | 3.3% | 3.2% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 7.2% | 9.2% | 9.6% | 11.4% | 13.5% | 9.6% |
| Benjamin Dufour | 9.0% | 9.1% | 8.5% | 10.1% | 9.3% | 8.7% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 8.6% | 5.7% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 4.1% | 1.7% | 0.8% | 0.1% |
| Drew Mastovsky | 9.2% | 9.2% | 9.9% | 9.9% | 8.9% | 8.9% | 8.5% | 6.2% | 7.5% | 6.2% | 5.0% | 4.4% | 2.5% | 2.4% | 1.3% | 0.0% |
| Mathias Reimer | 5.6% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 4.3% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 8.8% | 7.9% | 5.5% | 4.1% | 1.8% |
| Beckett Kumler | 5.1% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 5.7% | 7.7% | 6.5% | 7.8% | 7.9% | 9.3% | 7.1% | 6.1% | 3.7% | 1.2% |
| Robert Ulmer | 9.7% | 10.9% | 9.2% | 8.2% | 9.5% | 8.5% | 8.1% | 8.3% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 3.2% | 3.0% | 2.5% | 0.9% | 0.4% |
| Jack Derry | 3.9% | 4.1% | 4.4% | 3.4% | 4.4% | 4.4% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 9.0% | 8.0% | 10.1% | 10.0% | 9.5% | 7.4% | 4.3% |
| Emil Tullberg | 2.0% | 2.3% | 1.3% | 2.9% | 2.3% | 2.2% | 3.1% | 4.1% | 3.0% | 3.6% | 5.0% | 7.1% | 8.1% | 12.1% | 15.9% | 25.0% |
| Eva Ermlich | 7.0% | 6.1% | 7.3% | 8.3% | 8.9% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 8.3% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 5.2% | 3.9% | 2.6% | 1.2% |
| Parker Purrington | 5.7% | 5.2% | 8.4% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 8.2% | 7.7% | 6.5% | 9.4% | 8.0% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 4.7% | 2.2% | 1.6% |
| Brooks Turcotte | 3.0% | 1.9% | 3.3% | 3.6% | 3.0% | 3.2% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 7.0% | 8.3% | 12.0% | 11.2% | 10.9% | 9.3% |
| Zachary York | 2.6% | 2.0% | 2.6% | 2.2% | 3.1% | 3.6% | 3.8% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 9.5% | 13.7% | 14.7% | 10.7% |
| Renato Korzinek | 0.8% | 1.8% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 2.3% | 2.4% | 3.4% | 5.4% | 4.7% | 6.9% | 10.6% | 19.0% | 34.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.