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📊 Prediction Accuracy
18.8%
Within 2 Positions
3.8
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Brown University2.29+4.78vs Predicted
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2Boston University1.36+7.14vs Predicted
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3College of Charleston2.36+2.63vs Predicted
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4Old Dominion University1.24+5.82vs Predicted
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5Fordham University1.89+2.34vs Predicted
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6Maine Maritime Academy0.06+7.41vs Predicted
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7Tulane University2.38-1.30vs Predicted
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8U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.76-0.39vs Predicted
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9Tufts University1.98-2.10vs Predicted
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10Roger Williams University1.86-2.48vs Predicted
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11SUNY Maritime College0.76+0.34vs Predicted
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12Northeastern University1.52-3.28vs Predicted
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13Massachusetts Institute of Technology0.99-2.43vs Predicted
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14Yale University1.79-6.47vs Predicted
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15Salve Regina University1.31-5.44vs Predicted
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16University of Rhode Island1.33-6.58vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.78Brown University2.290.1%1st Place
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9.14Boston University1.360.0%1st Place
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5.63College of Charleston2.360.1%1st Place
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9.82Old Dominion University1.240.0%1st Place
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7.34Fordham University1.890.1%1st Place
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13.41Maine Maritime Academy0.060.0%1st Place
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5.7Tulane University2.380.1%1st Place
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7.61U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.760.1%1st Place
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6.9Tufts University1.980.1%1st Place
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7.52Roger Williams University1.860.1%1st Place
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11.34SUNY Maritime College0.760.0%1st Place
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8.72Northeastern University1.520.1%1st Place
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10.57Massachusetts Institute of Technology0.990.0%1st Place
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7.53Yale University1.790.1%1st Place
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9.56Salve Regina University1.310.0%1st Place
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9.42University of Rhode Island1.330.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Katharine Doble | 11.2% | 11.8% | 11.1% | 10.1% | 8.0% | 9.3% | 7.5% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 4.8% | 2.1% | 2.9% | 1.5% | 0.9% | 0.3% |
| Nathan Selian | 4.4% | 5.3% | 4.4% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 8.0% | 9.4% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 4.6% |
| Jonnie Ciffolillo | 12.8% | 10.6% | 9.3% | 10.8% | 10.3% | 9.0% | 8.2% | 7.5% | 6.3% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 2.9% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 0.8% | 0.1% |
| Diogo Silva | 2.9% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 4.4% | 4.6% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 9.6% | 8.0% | 9.5% | 10.7% | 6.4% |
| Connor Bennett | 6.8% | 8.0% | 7.0% | 7.7% | 6.9% | 9.1% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 7.7% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 5.0% | 3.9% | 3.0% | 0.5% |
| Nathan Hyde | 0.9% | 1.4% | 1.3% | 0.7% | 1.0% | 2.0% | 1.8% | 2.8% | 3.0% | 3.1% | 3.1% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 8.5% | 13.9% | 43.7% |
| Ava Anderson | 13.5% | 10.7% | 10.2% | 9.4% | 9.4% | 7.5% | 7.7% | 8.7% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 3.0% | 2.6% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 0.3% |
| Luke Zylinski | 7.4% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 7.6% | 6.9% | 7.7% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 4.3% | 3.5% | 1.1% |
| Connor Rosow | 7.2% | 10.7% | 8.6% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 8.8% | 8.4% | 6.4% | 7.5% | 7.7% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 2.8% | 4.5% | 2.4% | 0.7% |
| Jed Lory | 6.9% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 8.8% | 8.2% | 7.5% | 8.2% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 4.1% | 2.6% | 1.0% |
| Ben Hosford | 2.9% | 2.8% | 2.7% | 2.5% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 4.1% | 3.3% | 3.5% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 8.4% | 11.2% | 15.8% | 17.3% |
| Lucia Loosbrock | 5.3% | 4.5% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 7.3% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 6.4% | 3.8% |
| Emma Wang | 2.4% | 2.4% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 3.7% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 10.2% | 10.9% | 12.6% | 9.8% |
| Alex Adams | 7.0% | 6.2% | 7.8% | 8.0% | 6.7% | 7.6% | 8.4% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 2.8% | 1.3% |
| Olivia Lowthian | 4.4% | 4.0% | 3.3% | 3.8% | 6.8% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 7.1% | 7.7% | 7.5% | 9.8% | 10.7% | 8.3% | 4.3% |
| Adam Strobridge | 4.0% | 3.7% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 5.4% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 6.5% | 9.2% | 6.1% | 8.0% | 8.4% | 7.8% | 9.1% | 7.8% | 4.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.