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📊 Prediction Accuracy
37.5%
Within 2 Positions
3.2
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Brown University2.29+4.81vs Predicted
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2College of Charleston2.36+3.61vs Predicted
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3U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.76+4.76vs Predicted
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4Fordham University1.89+3.39vs Predicted
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5Massachusetts Institute of Technology0.99+5.66vs Predicted
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6Tufts University1.98+0.99vs Predicted
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7Roger Williams University1.86+0.54vs Predicted
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8Northeastern University1.52+0.48vs Predicted
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9Old Dominion University1.24+0.64vs Predicted
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10Salve Regina University1.31-0.51vs Predicted
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11Tulane University2.38-5.45vs Predicted
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12Yale University1.79-4.34vs Predicted
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13Maine Maritime Academy0.06+0.35vs Predicted
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14University of Rhode Island1.33-4.79vs Predicted
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15Boston University1.36-5.63vs Predicted
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16SUNY Maritime College0.76-4.51vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.81Brown University2.290.1%1st Place
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5.61College of Charleston2.360.1%1st Place
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7.76U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.760.1%1st Place
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7.39Fordham University1.890.1%1st Place
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10.66Massachusetts Institute of Technology0.990.0%1st Place
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6.99Tufts University1.980.1%1st Place
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7.54Roger Williams University1.860.1%1st Place
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8.48Northeastern University1.520.1%1st Place
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9.64Old Dominion University1.240.0%1st Place
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9.49Salve Regina University1.310.0%1st Place
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5.55Tulane University2.380.1%1st Place
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7.66Yale University1.790.1%1st Place
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13.35Maine Maritime Academy0.060.0%1st Place
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9.21University of Rhode Island1.330.0%1st Place
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9.37Boston University1.360.0%1st Place
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11.49SUNY Maritime College0.760.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Katharine Doble | 10.8% | 12.2% | 10.0% | 10.5% | 10.6% | 8.4% | 7.4% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 3.2% | 3.4% | 1.7% | 0.8% | 0.4% |
| Jonnie Ciffolillo | 12.3% | 12.9% | 10.2% | 9.8% | 9.5% | 7.7% | 6.8% | 7.8% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 4.5% | 2.5% | 1.8% | 2.0% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Luke Zylinski | 6.5% | 5.6% | 6.8% | 7.9% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 8.8% | 7.4% | 8.3% | 6.2% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 2.8% | 1.9% |
| Connor Bennett | 6.6% | 8.9% | 6.7% | 7.6% | 7.7% | 6.7% | 7.9% | 6.6% | 7.9% | 7.7% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 4.8% | 4.6% | 2.9% | 1.1% |
| Emma Wang | 2.8% | 3.3% | 2.7% | 3.0% | 4.0% | 5.2% | 3.9% | 5.7% | 4.7% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 9.1% | 11.5% | 14.0% | 9.8% |
| Connor Rosow | 8.2% | 7.4% | 9.3% | 8.2% | 7.1% | 8.1% | 8.7% | 8.3% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 2.6% | 3.1% | 0.7% |
| Jed Lory | 7.5% | 7.6% | 6.0% | 7.6% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 7.7% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 6.6% | 7.7% | 6.8% | 5.6% | 4.0% | 3.1% | 1.2% |
| Lucia Loosbrock | 5.1% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 8.0% | 6.5% | 7.7% | 7.4% | 5.5% | 2.3% |
| Diogo Silva | 3.5% | 3.8% | 5.9% | 4.1% | 3.3% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 7.7% | 7.1% | 8.6% | 8.2% | 8.4% | 8.7% | 6.7% |
| Olivia Lowthian | 4.4% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 3.4% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 4.3% | 6.1% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 10.3% | 8.3% | 8.3% | 8.2% | 5.3% |
| Ava Anderson | 12.7% | 10.9% | 12.3% | 9.0% | 8.9% | 10.0% | 8.6% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 3.2% | 3.3% | 2.4% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.2% |
| Alex Adams | 7.5% | 6.0% | 7.6% | 7.1% | 8.6% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 5.6% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 3.0% | 2.1% |
| Nathan Hyde | 1.1% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 1.6% | 1.9% | 1.2% | 2.8% | 1.9% | 3.2% | 3.8% | 3.4% | 3.6% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 16.1% | 43.2% |
| Adam Strobridge | 4.9% | 3.9% | 4.4% | 4.2% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 7.7% | 8.4% | 8.1% | 8.1% | 6.6% | 5.5% |
| Nathan Selian | 4.1% | 4.1% | 3.6% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 7.6% | 5.4% | 7.6% | 8.2% | 8.0% | 9.6% | 9.1% | 3.7% |
| Ben Hosford | 2.0% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 4.1% | 2.3% | 3.2% | 3.6% | 3.8% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 9.3% | 13.2% | 15.0% | 15.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.