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📊 Prediction Accuracy
25.0%
Within 2 Positions
3.4
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Brown University2.29+4.78vs Predicted
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2Fordham University1.89+5.20vs Predicted
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3Roger Williams University1.86+4.41vs Predicted
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4College of Charleston2.36+1.75vs Predicted
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5Yale University1.79+2.74vs Predicted
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6Massachusetts Institute of Technology0.99+4.67vs Predicted
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7Old Dominion University1.24+2.78vs Predicted
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8Tufts University1.98-1.19vs Predicted
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9University of Rhode Island1.33+0.32vs Predicted
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10U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.76-2.15vs Predicted
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11Northeastern University1.52-2.31vs Predicted
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12Boston University1.36-2.75vs Predicted
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13Maine Maritime Academy0.06+0.37vs Predicted
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14Salve Regina University1.31-4.70vs Predicted
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15Tulane University2.38-9.39vs Predicted
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16SUNY Maritime College0.76-4.52vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.78Brown University2.290.1%1st Place
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7.2Fordham University1.890.1%1st Place
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7.41Roger Williams University1.860.1%1st Place
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5.75College of Charleston2.360.1%1st Place
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7.74Yale University1.790.1%1st Place
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10.67Massachusetts Institute of Technology0.990.0%1st Place
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9.78Old Dominion University1.240.0%1st Place
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6.81Tufts University1.980.1%1st Place
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9.32University of Rhode Island1.330.0%1st Place
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7.85U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.760.1%1st Place
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8.69Northeastern University1.520.1%1st Place
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9.25Boston University1.360.0%1st Place
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13.37Maine Maritime Academy0.060.0%1st Place
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9.3Salve Regina University1.310.0%1st Place
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5.61Tulane University2.380.1%1st Place
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11.48SUNY Maritime College0.760.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Katharine Doble | 10.0% | 11.6% | 12.2% | 10.9% | 9.3% | 8.5% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 2.8% | 1.4% | 1.0% | 0.2% |
| Connor Bennett | 7.5% | 8.8% | 7.0% | 8.8% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 7.9% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 4.5% | 2.3% | 0.8% |
| Jed Lory | 7.4% | 7.8% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 7.9% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 8.4% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 3.6% | 2.9% | 1.2% |
| Jonnie Ciffolillo | 11.4% | 11.4% | 11.1% | 8.9% | 10.1% | 9.2% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 3.3% | 2.0% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 0.4% |
| Alex Adams | 5.8% | 6.5% | 7.7% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 7.6% | 7.7% | 7.6% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 7.7% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 2.8% | 0.9% |
| Emma Wang | 2.8% | 2.5% | 2.4% | 3.9% | 3.3% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 7.0% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 9.5% | 10.0% | 13.2% | 11.6% |
| Diogo Silva | 4.4% | 4.6% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 7.4% | 6.3% | 7.4% | 9.4% | 10.8% | 10.3% | 6.1% |
| Connor Rosow | 8.5% | 9.0% | 8.8% | 8.0% | 7.6% | 6.6% | 8.6% | 8.3% | 8.0% | 6.3% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 4.0% | 3.0% | 1.7% | 0.9% |
| Adam Strobridge | 4.2% | 4.6% | 5.4% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 5.6% | 7.0% | 4.2% | 7.1% | 8.1% | 8.0% | 7.6% | 8.3% | 7.9% | 7.5% | 5.7% |
| Luke Zylinski | 7.0% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 9.3% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 5.0% | 2.8% | 1.6% |
| Lucia Loosbrock | 6.1% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 8.0% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 8.3% | 9.0% | 7.2% | 6.4% | 2.5% |
| Nathan Selian | 4.4% | 4.3% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 7.0% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 7.9% | 7.6% | 6.8% | 9.3% | 8.4% | 5.4% |
| Nathan Hyde | 1.2% | 0.8% | 1.4% | 1.3% | 1.4% | 2.0% | 1.8% | 2.5% | 3.2% | 2.4% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 8.1% | 15.6% | 43.1% |
| Olivia Lowthian | 4.4% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 7.1% | 7.9% | 7.0% | 8.9% | 7.6% | 8.1% | 8.7% | 4.4% |
| Ava Anderson | 13.0% | 9.9% | 11.4% | 10.6% | 9.5% | 8.4% | 7.5% | 6.8% | 5.4% | 6.9% | 4.0% | 2.7% | 2.1% | 1.4% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Ben Hosford | 1.9% | 2.6% | 2.6% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 6.2% | 8.0% | 9.9% | 12.8% | 15.3% | 15.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.