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📊 Prediction Accuracy
43.8%
Within 2 Positions
3.6
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Tufts University1.98+5.80vs Predicted
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2Old Dominion University1.24+7.66vs Predicted
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3University of Rhode Island1.33+6.33vs Predicted
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4Northeastern University1.52+4.85vs Predicted
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5Brown University2.29+0.95vs Predicted
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6U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.76+1.85vs Predicted
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7Fordham University1.89+0.41vs Predicted
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8Boston University1.36+1.10vs Predicted
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9Tulane University2.38-3.48vs Predicted
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10Roger Williams University1.86-2.51vs Predicted
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11Salve Regina University1.31-1.60vs Predicted
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12SUNY Maritime College0.76-0.72vs Predicted
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13Yale University1.79-5.39vs Predicted
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14Maine Maritime Academy0.06-0.70vs Predicted
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15Massachusetts Institute of Technology0.99-4.24vs Predicted
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16College of Charleston2.36-10.33vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.8Tufts University1.980.1%1st Place
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9.66Old Dominion University1.240.0%1st Place
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9.33University of Rhode Island1.330.1%1st Place
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8.85Northeastern University1.520.0%1st Place
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5.95Brown University2.290.1%1st Place
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7.85U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.760.1%1st Place
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7.41Fordham University1.890.1%1st Place
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9.1Boston University1.360.0%1st Place
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5.52Tulane University2.380.1%1st Place
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7.49Roger Williams University1.860.1%1st Place
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9.4Salve Regina University1.310.1%1st Place
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11.28SUNY Maritime College0.760.0%1st Place
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7.61Yale University1.790.1%1st Place
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13.3Maine Maritime Academy0.060.0%1st Place
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10.76Massachusetts Institute of Technology0.990.0%1st Place
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5.67College of Charleston2.360.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Connor Rosow | 7.6% | 10.1% | 10.0% | 6.8% | 7.6% | 9.2% | 7.9% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 4.6% | 3.8% | 1.8% | 0.7% |
| Diogo Silva | 3.9% | 3.4% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 3.4% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 8.9% | 9.6% | 9.6% | 6.5% |
| Adam Strobridge | 5.0% | 4.0% | 3.7% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 8.0% | 6.3% | 9.1% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 8.3% | 9.7% | 3.8% |
| Lucia Loosbrock | 4.1% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 7.7% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 7.9% | 6.4% | 4.1% |
| Katharine Doble | 10.2% | 11.4% | 9.3% | 10.6% | 9.4% | 9.2% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 4.6% | 3.8% | 3.0% | 1.3% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Luke Zylinski | 5.7% | 6.0% | 7.7% | 8.1% | 7.7% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 3.5% | 2.3% |
| Connor Bennett | 7.8% | 8.0% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 8.3% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 4.8% | 2.0% | 0.9% |
| Nathan Selian | 4.3% | 5.8% | 4.6% | 4.3% | 6.5% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 9.5% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 7.9% | 4.3% |
| Ava Anderson | 12.9% | 12.4% | 11.2% | 8.7% | 10.6% | 7.7% | 8.9% | 7.0% | 5.1% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 3.2% | 2.0% | 1.7% | 0.4% | 0.4% |
| Jed Lory | 7.5% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 9.4% | 7.9% | 7.9% | 7.4% | 6.0% | 4.5% | 4.1% | 2.9% | 0.7% |
| Olivia Lowthian | 5.0% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 9.5% | 9.6% | 8.7% | 7.4% | 5.6% |
| Ben Hosford | 2.3% | 3.3% | 1.6% | 3.0% | 2.8% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 6.4% | 9.1% | 9.5% | 15.9% | 16.6% |
| Alex Adams | 6.6% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 8.3% | 8.1% | 6.8% | 7.6% | 7.6% | 7.1% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 2.7% | 1.2% |
| Nathan Hyde | 1.2% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 2.0% | 2.4% | 2.3% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 4.6% | 7.4% | 8.5% | 15.1% | 41.4% |
| Emma Wang | 3.4% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 2.3% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 9.7% | 11.2% | 13.4% | 11.3% |
| Jonnie Ciffolillo | 12.5% | 8.9% | 11.0% | 12.0% | 10.2% | 7.6% | 8.3% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 4.6% | 4.6% | 3.9% | 1.4% | 1.2% | 0.6% | 0.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.