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📊 Prediction Accuracy
43.8%
Within 2 Positions
3.6
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Tulane University2.38+4.46vs Predicted
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2Fordham University1.89+5.24vs Predicted
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3University of Rhode Island1.33+6.33vs Predicted
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4Old Dominion University1.24+5.88vs Predicted
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5Brown University2.29+0.96vs Predicted
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6Boston University1.36+3.34vs Predicted
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7Roger Williams University1.86+0.54vs Predicted
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8Northeastern University1.52+0.55vs Predicted
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9U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.76-1.30vs Predicted
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10Salve Regina University1.31-0.46vs Predicted
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11SUNY Maritime College0.76+0.29vs Predicted
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12Maine Maritime Academy0.06+1.30vs Predicted
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13Massachusetts Institute of Technology0.99-2.44vs Predicted
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14Tufts University1.98-7.16vs Predicted
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15College of Charleston2.36-9.27vs Predicted
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16Yale University1.79-8.27vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.46Tulane University2.380.1%1st Place
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7.24Fordham University1.890.1%1st Place
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9.33University of Rhode Island1.330.1%1st Place
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9.88Old Dominion University1.240.0%1st Place
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5.96Brown University2.290.1%1st Place
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9.34Boston University1.360.0%1st Place
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7.54Roger Williams University1.860.1%1st Place
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8.55Northeastern University1.520.1%1st Place
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7.7U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.760.1%1st Place
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9.54Salve Regina University1.310.0%1st Place
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11.29SUNY Maritime College0.760.0%1st Place
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13.3Maine Maritime Academy0.060.0%1st Place
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10.56Massachusetts Institute of Technology0.990.0%1st Place
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6.84Tufts University1.980.1%1st Place
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5.73College of Charleston2.360.1%1st Place
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7.73Yale University1.790.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ava Anderson | 13.2% | 12.5% | 9.8% | 11.8% | 9.1% | 8.5% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 7.4% | 4.3% | 3.9% | 3.0% | 1.8% | 1.0% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Connor Bennett | 7.6% | 9.0% | 8.0% | 6.6% | 8.2% | 6.2% | 8.3% | 7.9% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 4.2% | 2.7% | 1.4% |
| Adam Strobridge | 5.0% | 4.4% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 4.1% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 7.4% | 5.6% | 8.6% | 9.1% | 8.7% | 9.2% | 6.9% | 4.5% |
| Diogo Silva | 2.8% | 4.1% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 5.6% | 4.7% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 8.1% | 9.6% | 11.5% | 6.7% |
| Katharine Doble | 11.0% | 10.4% | 10.1% | 10.7% | 9.2% | 6.5% | 8.1% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 3.6% | 2.6% | 1.6% | 0.7% | 0.2% |
| Nathan Selian | 4.0% | 3.4% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 5.4% | 7.7% | 5.2% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 8.1% | 9.3% | 10.1% | 3.7% |
| Jed Lory | 7.9% | 7.5% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 5.2% | 8.3% | 9.5% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 7.5% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 2.5% | 1.5% |
| Lucia Loosbrock | 5.3% | 5.2% | 7.1% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 7.6% | 8.3% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 5.0% | 2.8% |
| Luke Zylinski | 6.6% | 6.0% | 7.6% | 7.2% | 8.4% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 3.7% | 2.0% |
| Olivia Lowthian | 4.4% | 4.6% | 4.4% | 2.9% | 5.9% | 3.7% | 4.3% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 9.6% | 8.0% | 8.4% | 10.2% | 9.3% | 7.0% | 4.5% |
| Ben Hosford | 3.0% | 3.0% | 2.9% | 1.9% | 4.4% | 3.0% | 4.1% | 3.9% | 4.4% | 4.6% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 8.7% | 10.9% | 16.1% | 16.8% |
| Nathan Hyde | 1.3% | 1.0% | 0.8% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 1.9% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 3.7% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 7.7% | 14.1% | 43.5% |
| Emma Wang | 2.3% | 3.4% | 3.2% | 4.2% | 3.7% | 4.9% | 4.1% | 4.8% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 9.0% | 10.9% | 13.2% | 9.9% |
| Connor Rosow | 7.9% | 8.0% | 8.0% | 9.8% | 8.2% | 9.1% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 3.5% | 3.3% | 2.4% | 0.7% |
| Jonnie Ciffolillo | 11.8% | 10.6% | 11.0% | 10.4% | 7.8% | 10.7% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 4.9% | 6.1% | 4.2% | 3.2% | 3.3% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| Alex Adams | 5.9% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 6.7% | 9.3% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 8.3% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 4.8% | 2.8% | 1.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.