Race 1A

toni-deutsch-58

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

41.7%
Within 2 Positions
3.3
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
Chandler Salisbury 9.2% 9.8% 8.1% 9.9% 9.9% 10.7% 9.8% 9.8% 8.4% 8.4% 4.5% 1.5%
Haley Powell 6.0% 7.6% 6.0% 9.4% 9.4% 9.1% 9.1% 10.6% 10.7% 11.1% 8.4% 2.6%
Stephanie Hudson 13.5% 10.7% 11.1% 10.9% 11.2% 10.6% 10.6% 7.7% 5.6% 4.9% 2.9% 0.3%
Emily Dellenbaugh 11.5% 11.6% 11.0% 11.8% 12.2% 8.8% 9.1% 6.9% 6.8% 5.4% 4.3% 0.6%
Hanna Vincent 12.3% 12.6% 10.2% 10.5% 9.7% 10.1% 10.2% 7.9% 6.5% 5.6% 3.3% 1.1%
Erica Lush 3.3% 3.4% 4.6% 5.1% 4.2% 5.5% 5.3% 9.4% 10.1% 12.7% 22.3% 14.1%
Alexandra Arntsen 6.4% 7.9% 7.5% 6.7% 9.3% 8.2% 9.9% 8.9% 12.4% 9.9% 9.0% 3.9%
Morgan Russom 7.7% 7.3% 6.6% 6.9% 7.3% 8.8% 7.4% 11.0% 10.5% 12.2% 9.5% 4.8%
Natalie Salk 11.4% 13.7% 15.6% 8.8% 11.2% 10.1% 7.5% 7.8% 8.1% 2.5% 3.0% 0.3%
Ann Sager 0.9% 1.2% 2.1% 2.2% 1.6% 1.8% 2.2% 2.4% 3.8% 7.5% 13.1% 61.2%
Lauren Cefali 4.7% 3.4% 4.5% 6.2% 5.8% 6.3% 8.2% 9.6% 10.5% 15.1% 16.6% 9.1%
Claire Dennis 13.1% 10.8% 12.7% 11.6% 8.2% 10.0% 10.7% 8.0% 6.6% 4.7% 3.1% 0.5%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.