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📊 Prediction Accuracy

70.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.6
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
Laura Hamilton 22.3% 21.1% 17.5% 13.8% 11.1% 7.8% 3.7% 2.1% 0.5% 0.1%
Nathan Selian 12.6% 13.2% 14.3% 14.6% 13.6% 11.5% 9.2% 8.0% 2.5% 0.5%
Adrian Winkelman 13.5% 13.2% 12.6% 13.7% 13.3% 12.5% 10.0% 7.0% 3.1% 1.1%
Matias Martin 11.6% 10.8% 11.9% 12.8% 13.4% 12.3% 11.6% 9.2% 5.2% 1.2%
Jake Weinstein 14.9% 13.1% 14.9% 13.0% 12.7% 11.7% 9.3% 5.9% 3.5% 0.9%
Patrick York 2.9% 3.5% 3.4% 4.2% 5.6% 7.8% 11.9% 16.7% 22.8% 21.2%
Grace Bray 5.6% 7.4% 7.0% 7.8% 9.2% 11.0% 14.9% 16.0% 13.8% 7.3%
William Roberts 3.0% 3.9% 3.5% 4.2% 5.2% 6.9% 9.3% 15.9% 24.1% 23.9%
Tyler Winowiecki 2.2% 2.1% 2.4% 3.1% 4.2% 5.1% 8.1% 10.8% 19.8% 42.3%
Luke Hosek 11.3% 11.8% 12.4% 12.8% 11.8% 13.5% 11.9% 8.4% 4.7% 1.5%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.