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📊 Prediction Accuracy
37.5%
Within 2 Positions
3.0
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Brown University2.29+4.80vs Predicted
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2University of Rhode Island1.33+7.25vs Predicted
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3College of Charleston2.36+2.66vs Predicted
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4Northeastern University1.52+4.84vs Predicted
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5Fordham University1.89+2.33vs Predicted
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6Tufts University1.98+1.04vs Predicted
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7U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.76+0.89vs Predicted
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8Yale University1.79-0.50vs Predicted
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9Tulane University2.38-3.50vs Predicted
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10Roger Williams University1.86-2.50vs Predicted
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11Boston University1.36-1.78vs Predicted
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12Massachusetts Institute of Technology0.99-1.46vs Predicted
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13Old Dominion University1.24-3.32vs Predicted
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14Maine Maritime Academy0.06-0.74vs Predicted
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15SUNY Maritime College0.76-3.49vs Predicted
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16Salve Regina University1.31-6.52vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.8Brown University2.290.1%1st Place
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9.25University of Rhode Island1.330.0%1st Place
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5.66College of Charleston2.360.1%1st Place
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8.84Northeastern University1.520.0%1st Place
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7.33Fordham University1.890.1%1st Place
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7.04Tufts University1.980.1%1st Place
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7.89U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.760.1%1st Place
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7.5Yale University1.790.1%1st Place
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5.5Tulane University2.380.1%1st Place
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7.5Roger Williams University1.860.1%1st Place
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9.22Boston University1.360.1%1st Place
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10.54Massachusetts Institute of Technology0.990.0%1st Place
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9.68Old Dominion University1.240.0%1st Place
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13.26Maine Maritime Academy0.060.0%1st Place
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11.51SUNY Maritime College0.760.0%1st Place
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9.48Salve Regina University1.310.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Katharine Doble | 11.1% | 11.7% | 11.2% | 9.3% | 9.5% | 9.7% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 5.4% | 2.5% | 2.3% | 1.5% | 1.0% | 0.3% |
| Adam Strobridge | 3.8% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 7.8% | 6.9% | 9.4% | 8.1% | 8.1% | 5.0% |
| Jonnie Ciffolillo | 13.5% | 10.4% | 7.6% | 10.9% | 11.2% | 8.0% | 9.4% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 1.7% | 2.6% | 1.5% | 0.8% | 0.2% |
| Lucia Loosbrock | 4.0% | 5.2% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 5.0% | 6.7% | 5.2% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 7.9% | 8.1% | 7.4% | 6.2% | 8.0% | 7.6% | 3.3% |
| Connor Bennett | 6.9% | 7.7% | 7.3% | 8.1% | 6.4% | 9.3% | 7.8% | 6.6% | 7.7% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 4.9% | 6.0% | 4.0% | 2.8% | 0.8% |
| Connor Rosow | 6.9% | 7.1% | 10.4% | 9.3% | 8.1% | 6.9% | 7.9% | 7.3% | 6.0% | 7.7% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 2.8% | 2.7% | 1.2% |
| Luke Zylinski | 7.2% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 3.9% | 1.4% |
| Alex Adams | 7.7% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 8.2% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 5.7% | 7.6% | 7.9% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 4.8% | 3.1% | 0.7% |
| Ava Anderson | 12.7% | 12.9% | 11.4% | 8.7% | 9.9% | 9.3% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 4.5% | 3.3% | 3.8% | 1.7% | 1.5% | 0.7% | 0.2% |
| Jed Lory | 6.6% | 7.6% | 6.4% | 7.7% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 10.1% | 9.0% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 7.7% | 7.7% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 2.6% | 1.0% |
| Nathan Selian | 5.1% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 4.4% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 5.5% | 7.9% | 9.4% | 8.4% | 8.7% | 7.0% | 4.6% |
| Emma Wang | 3.4% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 3.6% | 4.5% | 4.1% | 6.0% | 4.5% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 7.6% | 9.0% | 9.0% | 13.2% | 11.8% |
| Diogo Silva | 3.2% | 3.9% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 8.4% | 8.9% | 7.8% | 9.5% | 6.6% |
| Nathan Hyde | 1.3% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 1.8% | 1.5% | 1.3% | 1.8% | 2.3% | 2.8% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 5.3% | 6.9% | 9.9% | 14.4% | 40.9% |
| Ben Hosford | 2.7% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 2.4% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 5.2% | 4.0% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 8.7% | 13.3% | 15.6% | 16.6% |
| Olivia Lowthian | 3.9% | 3.7% | 4.7% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 6.7% | 8.0% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 10.0% | 7.8% | 9.3% | 7.0% | 5.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.